Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 8

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday


	Kotwica Kórnik		Lipno Stęszew

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.50	2.65
	2.18	3.45	2.65
	2.25	3.52	2.62
	2.2	3.61	2.77	Watch
	2.20	3.45	2.55
	2.24	3.52	2.62	Watch
	2.13	3.52	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.34)	3.51 ↑ (3.41)	2.65 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kotwica Kórnik
40.8%

Draw
25.5%

Lipno Stęszew
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

25.9%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

24.2%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kotwica Kórnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Lipno Stęszew has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kotwica Kórnik than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kotwica Kórnik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lipno Stęszew than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lipno Stęszew could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kotwica Kórnik - Lipno Stęszew Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Strawa A. ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, Chilinski K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 3 - 0, Chilinski K. ⚽,
60', 4 - 0, ⚽,
90', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Kotwica Kórnik have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lipno Stęszew has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Kotwica Kórnik could have a small edge in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Kotwica Kornik	11	3	1	7	18:32	-14	10
18	Lipno Steszew	11	1	2	8	11:23	-12	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kotwica Kórnik
Polish Division 3 - Group II
05.09.26	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Kotwica Kórnik	2:4 ✺
28.08.26	Kotwica Kórnik - Chemik Bydgoszcz	4:1 ✺
22.08.26	Września - Kotwica Kórnik	1:0 ✺
19.08.26	Kotwica Kórnik - Bałtyk Koszalin	0:1 ✺
08.08.26	Flota Świnoujście - Kotwica Kórnik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWLLL
- Lipno Stęszew
Polish Division 3 - Group II
05.09.26	Lipno Stęszew - Flota Świnoujście	1:3 ✺
28.08.26	Luzino - Lipno Stęszew	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Lipno Stęszew - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	2:3 ✺
19.08.26	Lech Poznań 2 - Lipno Stęszew	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Lipno Stęszew - Kluczevia Stargard	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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