Match Info

Division 1 - Round 26

Date: 4 April 2025, Friday

Location: Municipal Stadium Sebastiana Karpiniuka (Kolobrzeg)

Referee: Marciniak T. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Kotwica Kołobrzeg		Arka Gdynia

	1	X	2
	7	4.2	1.38
	7.25	4.4	1.38
	7.8	4.6	1.39	Watch
	8.06	4.51	1.39	Watch
	7	4.2	1.4
	8.3	4.6	1.34
	7.8	4.6	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.6 ↑ (6.51)	4.44 ↑ (4.24)	1.38 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kotwica Kołobrzeg
12.2%

Draw
20.8%

Arka Gdynia
67%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.3%

22%

63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.8%

21.3%

65.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kotwica Kołobrzeg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kotwica Kołobrzeg than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Arka Gdynia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Arka (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Arka Gdynia will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Koziol M. (G) 32. Musolitin M. 10. Cywinski M. 27. Welna T. (C) 22. Kostevych V. 8. Ramos L. 24. Oliveira F. 15. Kurowski M. 9. Kozlowski F. 70. Krekovic L. 98. Perez J.	77. Weglarz D. (G) 2. Navarro M. 23. Hermoso K. 29. Marcjanik M. 94. Gojny D. (C) 11. Kocyla D. 9. Gaprindashvili T. 39. Kocaba F. 8. Sidibe A. 27. Oliveira J. 7. Sobczak S.
Substitutes
28. Cucos C. 6. Kort K. 1. Krzepisz K. (G) 19. Lasek M. 7. Nawate Y. 16. Sadovski U. 99. Skiba D. 83. Trojnarski A.	13. Azatsky O. 1. Grobelny J. (G) 35. Jakubczyk K. 6. Lipkowski K. 99. Majchrzak J. 16. Ratajczyk A. 19. Rzuchowski M. 21. Skora K. 32. Stolc P.
Coaches
Tworek P.	Szwarga D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Oliveira F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Sidibe A. 🟨,
55', Sidibe A. ↓, Rzuchowski M. ↑,
55', Oliveira J. ↓, Ratajczyk A. ↑,
68', Oliveira F. ↓, Kort K. ↑,
74', Kocyla D. ↓, Skora K. ↑,
78', Musolitin M. 🟨,
79', Sobczak S. ↓, Majchrzak J. ↑,
80', Kozlowski F. ↓, Sadovski U. ↑,
85', Krekovic L. ↓, Skiba D. ↑,
85', Kurowski M. ↓, Lasek M. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 1, Navarro M. ⚽, Rzuchowski M. (A),

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa).

Kotwica Kołobrzeg is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Arka is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Arka is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kotwica Kołobrzeg won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kotwica Kołobrzeg
Polish Division 1
28.03.25	Wisła Kraków - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Znicz Pruszków	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	Polonia Warsaw - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	2:2 ✺
02.03.25	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - ŁKS Łódź	0:0 ✺
21.02.25	Stal Rzeszów - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LTTTL
- Arka Gdynia
Polish Division 1
30.03.25	Arka Gdynia - Miedź Legnica	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Górnik Łęczna - Arka Gdynia	0:1 ✺
08.03.25	Ruch Chorzów - Arka Gdynia	0:1 ✺
28.02.25	Arka Gdynia - Wisła Kraków	2:2 ✺
22.02.25	Znicz Pruszków - Arka Gdynia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
15.09.24	Arka Gdynia - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	5:0

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