Match Info

Division 1 - Round 28

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Municipal Stadium Sebastiana Karpiniuka (Kolobrzeg)

Referee: Jenda M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Kotwica Kołobrzeg		Miedź Legnica

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.9	1.5
	4.5	3.7	1.65
	5.8	4	1.55	Watch
	5.98	3.83	1.57	Watch
	4.5	3.4	1.7
	5.68	4.03	1.55	Watch
	5.8	4	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.39 ↓ (5.69)	3.84 ↓ (4.07)	1.58 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kotwica Kołobrzeg
17.2%

Draw
24.2%

Miedź Legnica
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.3%

22.8%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.8%

22.1%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kotwica Kołobrzeg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Miedź Legnica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kotwica Kołobrzeg than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miedź Legnica than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Miedź Legnica Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Miedź (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Kotwica Kołobrzeg (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Miedź Legnica will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kotwica Kołobrzeg (votes: 1 - 50%). Miedź (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Koziol M. (G) 32. Musolitin M. 28. Cucos C. 27. Welna T. (C) 45. Favorov D. 29. Perez J. 24. Oliveira F. 8. Ramos L. 70. Krekovic L. 15. Kurowski M. 9. Kozlowski F.	44. Wrabel J. (G) 3. Grudzinski M. (C) 5. Kovacevic A. 99. Kwiecien B. 26. Hartherz F. 22. Kaczmarski I. 63. Hajda W. 10. Mioc B. 6. Podgorski J. 73. Bochnak M. 98. Antonik K.
Substitutes
6. Kort K. 1. Krzepisz K. (G) 19. Lasek M. 7. Nawate Y. 16. Sadovski U. 99. Skiba D. 83. Trojnarski A.	77. Chadala F. (G) 19. Drina A. 14. Drygas K. 23. Engvall G. 24. Leonczyk J. 27. Letniowski J. 69. Michalik D. 49. Szymoniak O. 91. Walczak T.
Coaches
Tworek P.	Lobodzinski W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
67', Bochnak M. ↓, Engvall G. ↑,
67', Grudzinski M. ↓, Leonczyk J. ↑,
69', Kurowski M. ↓, Trojnarski A. ↑,
69', Kozlowski F. ↓, Kort K. ↑,
75', Favorov D. 🟨,
76', Mioc B. ↓, Letniowski J. ↑,
80', Letniowski J. 🟨,
85', Perez J. ↓, Skiba D. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Kotwica Kołobrzeg is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Miedź is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kotwica Kołobrzeg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Miedź is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kotwica Kołobrzeg won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kotwica Kołobrzeg
Polish Division 1
08.04.25	Górnik Łęczna - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	0:0 ✺
04.04.25	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Arka Gdynia	0:1 ✺
28.03.25	Wisła Kraków - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Znicz Pruszków	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	Polonia Warsaw - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TLLTT
- Miedź Legnica
Polish Division 1
10.04.25	Ruch Chorzów - Miedź Legnica	1:2 ✺
04.04.25	Miedź Legnica - Górnik Łęczna	0:2 ✺
30.03.25	Arka Gdynia - Miedź Legnica	2:0 ✺
14.03.25	Miedź Legnica - Wisła Kraków	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	Znicz Pruszków - Miedź Legnica	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
29.09.24	Miedź Legnica - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1:1

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