Match Info

Division 1 - Round 28

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion MZOS Znicz (Pruszków)

Referee: Pskit P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Znicz Pruszków		Miedź Legnica

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.25	2.05
	2.92	3.5	2.2	Watch
	3.1	3.84	2.14
	2.88	3.75	2.22	Watch
	2.9	3.25	2.15
	2.85	3.4	2.2
	3	3.14	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (3)	3.45 ↑ (3.14)	2.15 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Znicz Pruszków
30.9%

Draw
26.6%

Miedź Legnica
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

28.2%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

27.5%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Znicz Pruszków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Miedź Legnica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Znicz Pruszków than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miedź Legnica than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Znicz Pruszków - Miedź Legnica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Misztal P. (G) 22. Tabara K. 6. Pawlik M. 5. Jach J. 99. Koprowski O. 11. Moskwik P. 8. Proczek T. 14. Okhronchuk V. 20. Borecki M. 9. Majewski R. 29. Bak D.	72. Lucic I. (G) 78. Polak C. 59. Stepinski P. 15. Jovicic M. 3. Grudzinski M. (C) 11. Kuchko G. 18. Cordoba A. 23. Rakip E. 8. Serafin J. 98. Antonik K. 21. Stanclik D.
Substitutes
3. Bartoszewicz A. 10. Ciepiela B. 17. Kazimierczak A. 25. Konieczny D. 21. Mak M. 23. Napieraj K. (G) 35. Redlinski A. 77. Skladowski F. 30. Yuzvak A.	25. Czyborra L. 14. Drygas K. 17. Maliszewski I. 95. Mansfeld M. 10. Mioc B. 80. Petrovic Z. 44. Wrabel J. (G)
Coaches
Smolarow L.	Niedzwiedz J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Moskwik P. 🟨,
13', 0 - 1, Antonik K. ⚽, Rakip E. (A),
39', Okhronchuk V. 🟨,
40', Serafin J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Pawlik M. ↓, Ciepiela B. ↑,
61', 0 - 2, Stanclik D. ⚽,
65', Moskwik P. ↓, Yuzvak A. ↑,
65', Proczek T. ↓, Kazimierczak A. ↑,
71', 1 - 2, Majewski R. ⚽, Ciepiela B. (A),
72', Rakip E. ↓, Petrovic Z. ↑,
72', Cordoba A. ↓, Mansfeld M. ↑,
76', Kazimierczak A. 🟨,
80', Okhronchuk V. 🟨,
83', Stepinski P. ↓, Drygas K. ↑,
83', Kuchko G. ↓, Maliszewski I. ↑,
88', Ciepiela B. 🟨,
89', Bak D. ↓, Bartoszewicz A. ↑,
90+3', Antonik K. ↓, Czyborra L. ↑,
90+6', Koprowski O. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Znicz won 2.

Znicz is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Miedź has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Miedź may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Znicz won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Znicz won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Pruszkow: 11.59% Legnica: 4.51%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Legnica	9	4	2	3	14:9	5	14

Last Results with these Odds

Znicz Pruszków - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 29.49%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Znicz Pruszków
Polish Division 1
04.04.26	GKS Tychy - Znicz Pruszków	0:1 ✺
20.03.26	Znicz Pruszków - Stal Rzeszów	2:3 ✺
15.03.26	Pogoń Siedlce - Znicz Pruszków	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Znicz Pruszków - Odra Opole	2:3 ✺
01.03.26	Wisła Kraków - Znicz Pruszków	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLLLT
- Miedź Legnica
Polish Division 1
07.04.26	Miedź Legnica - Polonia Bytom	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Polonia Warsaw - Miedź Legnica	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	Wisła Kraków - Miedź Legnica	3:2 ✺
07.03.26	Miedź Legnica - Stal Rzeszów	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	ŁKS Łódź - Miedź Legnica	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
28.09.25	Miedź Legnica - Znicz Pruszków	2:1
08.03.25	Znicz Pruszków - Miedź Legnica	2:1
22.08.24	Miedź Legnica - Znicz Pruszków	4:0
28.04.24	Miedź Legnica - Znicz Pruszków	1:2
30.10.23	Znicz Pruszków - Miedź Legnica	1:1
21.04.17	Miedź Legnica - Znicz Pruszków	2:0
24.09.16	Znicz Pruszków - Miedź Legnica	0:0

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