Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 4

Date: 11 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Municipal Stadium Sebastiana Karpiniuka (Kolobrzeg)

Referee: Urban P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Kotwica Kołobrzeg		Stal Rzeszów

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.4	2.55
	2.4	3.3	2.6
	2.5	3.4	2.65
	2.31	3.3	3.11
	2.5	3.37	2.72	Watch
	2.3	3.4	2.6
	2.41	3.36	2.68	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.43)	3.37 ↑ (3.35)	2.7 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kotwica Kołobrzeg
38.3%

Draw
27.4%

Stal Rzeszów
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

27.2%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

27%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kotwica Kołobrzeg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Stal Rzeszów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kotwica Kołobrzeg than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Rzeszów than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Stal Rzeszów Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Stal Rzeszów will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Koziol M. (G) 66. Witasik P. 27. Welna T. 21. Kozajda M. 7. Kosakiewicz L. 80. Petrovic Z. 24. Oliveira F. 10. Cywinski M. 70. Krekovic L. 39. Jonathan Junior 29. Bykowski M.	1. Bakowski K. (G) 2. Warczak P. 4. Synos M. 14. Koscielny K. 22. Simcak M. 31. Thill S. 7. Lysiak K. 21. Kadziolka S. 46. Lyczko S. 11. Prokic A. 18. Wachowiak K.
Substitutes
77. Bieganski A. 28. Dampc M. 6. Kort K. 9. Kozlowski F. 1. Krzepisz K. (G) 11. Madembo T. . Trojanowski M. 17. Zietek L.	9. Bala T. 30. Diaz J. 51. Gaza A. 91. Oleksy P. 45. Pasko K. 27. Pena C. 44. Piotrowski B. 43. Postupalskyi I. 12. Raciniewski J. (G)
Coaches
Tarasiewicz R.	Zub M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Prokic A. ⚽, Thill S. (A),
13', Cywinski M. ↓, Kozlowski F. ↑,
21', 0 - 2, Welna T. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kadziolka S. ↓, Piotrowski B. ↑,
47', 1 - 2, Kosakiewicz L. ⚽, Kozlowski F. (A),
52', Simcak M. 🟨,
62', Wachowiak K. ↓, Pena C. ↑,
63', Krekovic L. 🟨,
71', Prokic A. ↓, Bala T. ↑,
78', Kozajda M. 🟨,
81', Krekovic L. ↓, Bieganski A. ↑,
87', Witasik P. ↓, Madembo T. ↑,
87', Petrovic Z. ↓, Kort K. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 3, Lyczko S. ⚽, Piotrowski B. (A),

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Stal Rzeszów could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Stal Rzeszów have a series of home games.

Kotwica Kołobrzeg will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kotwica Kołobrzeg
Polish Cup
07.08.24	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Skra Częstochowa	2:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
03.08.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	0:2 ✺
26.07.24	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - GKS Tychy	0:0 ✺
21.07.24	Wisła Płock - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
13.07.24	Pogoń Szczecin - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWTTL
- Stal Rzeszów
Polish Division 1
04.08.24	Stal Rzeszów - Miedź Legnica	1:0 ✺
27.07.24	Górnik Łęczna - Stal Rzeszów	2:1 ✺
22.07.24	Stal Rzeszów - Arka Gdynia	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.24	Stal Rzeszów - Stal Mielec	0:5 ✺
06.07.24	Stal Rzeszów - Hapoel Beer Sheva	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.7 WLWLW

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