Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 10

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Kotwica Kórnik		Grom Nowy Staw

	1	X	2
	2.40	3.60	2.30
	2.45	3.60	2.28
	2.51	4.05	2.14
	2.43	3.95	2.34	Watch
	2.35	4.00	2.18
	2.80	3.94	2.13	Watch
	2.46	3.47	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.46)	3.8 ↑ (3.47)	2.24 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kotwica Kórnik
36.2%

Draw
23.7%

Grom Nowy Staw
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

25.5%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

25.7%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kotwica Kórnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Grom Nowy Staw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kotwica Kórnik than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grom Nowy Staw than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Kotwica Kórnik - Grom Nowy Staw Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Jankowski I. ⚽,
32', 0 - 2, Jankowski I. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+4', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12th and 11th).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Kotwica Kórnik may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Grom Nowy Staw	11	4	1	6	28:28	0	13
16	Kotwica Kornik	11	3	1	7	18:32	-14	10

Last Results with these Odds

Kotwica Kórnik - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 35.99%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kotwica Kórnik
Polish Division 3 - Group II
19.09.26	Gedania Gdańsk - Kotwica Kórnik	6:1 ✺
12.09.26	Kotwica Kórnik - Lipno Stęszew	4:1 ✺
05.09.26	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Kotwica Kórnik	2:4 ✺
28.08.26	Kotwica Kórnik - Chemik Bydgoszcz	4:1 ✺
22.08.26	Września - Kotwica Kórnik	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 LWWWL
- Grom Nowy Staw
Polish Division 3 - Group II
19.09.26	Grom Nowy Staw - Flota Świnoujście	5:0 ✺
11.09.26	Luzino - Grom Nowy Staw	5:1 ✺
05.09.26	Grom Nowy Staw - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	4:4 ✺
29.08.26	Lech Poznań 2 - Grom Nowy Staw	2:4 ✺
23.08.26	Grom Nowy Staw - Kluczevia Stargard	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WLTWL

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