Match Info

GREECE: SUPER LEAGUE 2 - ROUND 7

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Kozani		AEL Larissa

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.2	2
	3.8	3	1.88
	4.2	3.2	1.9
	4.51	3.12	1.88
	4.52	3.12	1.88
	4.33	3.2	1.86
	4	3	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.22 ↓ (4.86)	3.12 ↓ (3.4)	1.9 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kozani
21.9%

Draw
29.6%

AEL Larissa
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.3%

27.5%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

28.1%

54.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kozani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

AEL Larissa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kozani than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEL Larissa than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AEL Larissa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kozani - AEL Larissa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Kozani is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Larissa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Larissa is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kozani FC
Greek Super League 2
29.10.23	Apollon Pontou - Kozani	0:0 ✺
22.10.23	Kozani - Anagennisi Karditsa	1:0 ✺
15.10.23	Niki Volos - Kozani	0:1 ✺
11.10.23	Kozani - Makedonikos	2:0 ✺
02.10.23	Levadiakos - Kozani	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.2 TWWWL
- AEL Larissa
Greek Super League 2
29.10.23	Anagennisi Karditsa - AEL Larissa	0:2 ✺
22.10.23	AEL Larissa - Makedonikos	1:1 ✺
15.10.23	Aiolikos - AEL Larissa	1:1 ✺
11.10.23	AEL Larissa - Iraklis	1:0 ✺
30.09.23	AEK B - AEL Larissa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTTWL

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