The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kristianstad 34%
Draw 23.2%
Trollhättan 42.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.5%
26.3%
37.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.8%
26.5%
36.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kristianstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Trollhättan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Trollhättan's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kristianstad than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trollhättan than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Trollhättan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Kristianstad - Trollhättan Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
50. Wagert O. 5. Agardius V. 6. Alsen K. 9. Dampha O. 15. Hughes A. 8. Kamp A. 11. Lilja P. 21. Lindberg V. 10. Strobeck T. 19. Svedin S. 3. Svensson L. (C)
25. Ibrahimovic A. (G) 13. Berg M. 11. Burubwa D. 3. Gashi A. 17. Hermansson V. 6. Jensen W. (C) 15. Johansson V. 12. Lunden N. 8. Ocampo Hagglund O. 19. Sterner F. 5. Svensson N.
Substitutes
16. Asterman Fridman V. 20. Chrupalla P. 14. Henningsson A. 2. Klevendal W. 25. Kronvall O. 40. Leffler V. (G) 24. Nennesson K.
22. Abdirsak H. 16. Banous S. 1. Henriksson J. (G) 20. Henriksson W. 14. Sernling T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Dampha O. (Penalty Awarded),
32', Strobeck T. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Lilja P. ⚽, Kamp A. (A),
44', Gashi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Berg M. ↓, Abdirsak H. ↑,
47', 2 - 0, Lilja P. ⚽, Hughes A. (A),
49', 3 - 0, Lilja P. ⚽, Svensson L. (A),
51', Gashi A. ↓, Sernling T. ↑,
51', Lunden N. ↓, Henriksson W. ↑,
57', Strobeck T. ↓, Henningsson A. ↑,
60', 3 - 1, Jensen W. ⚽,
85', Lilja P. ↓, Kronvall O. ↑,
88', Hughes A. ↓, Chrupalla P. ↑,
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 14th in the Relegation and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kristianstad won 1.
Kristianstad has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Trollhättan shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Trollhättan may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Kristianstad has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:7 (averaging 0.7:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kristianstad against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 1:5 goals (averaging 0.3:1.7 per game).