Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-LIGAEN - ROUND 5

Date: 3 May 2023, Wednesday

Location: Kristiansund Stadion (Kristiansand)

Referee: Stofringshaug M. (Nor)


	Kristiansund		Sogndal

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.75	4.33	Watch
	1.61	4.1	4.4
	1.58	4.25	4.8
	1.73	4.2	4.31
	1.6	3.8	4.5
	1.64	4.33	4.6	Watch
	1.61	4.2	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.79)	4.23 ↑ (3.5)	4.46 ↑ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kristiansund
57.1%

Draw
22%

Sogndal
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

25.8%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

25.3%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kristiansund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kristiansund's performance.

Sogndal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kristiansund than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kristiansund that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sogndal than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	13.3%	0%

Kristiansund - Sogndal Predictions

Users Predictions: Kristiansund will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kristiansund won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Kristiansund is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Kristiansund won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Kristiansund won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kristiansund BK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
29.04.23	Mjøndalen - Kristiansund	1:3 ✺
22.04.23	Kristiansund - Kongsvinger	2:0 ✺
16.04.23	Start - Kristiansund	4:0 ✺
10.04.23	Kristiansund - Fredrikstad	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.04.23	Aalesunds - Kristiansund	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLLL
- Sogndal Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
29.04.23	Sogndal - Bryne	2:2 ✺
23.04.23	Moss - Sogndal	1:2 ✺
15.04.23	Sogndal - Sandnes Ulf	1:0 ✺
10.04.23	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Sogndal	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.04.23	Brann - Sogndal	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
13.03.19	Sogndal - Kristiansund	0:0
Norwegian Eliteserien
20.08.17	Sogndal - Kristiansund	2:0
28.05.17	Kristiansund - Sogndal	1:1
Club Friendly
29.01.17	Sogndal - Kristiansund	2:0
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.10.15	Sogndal - Kristiansund	4:3
03.05.15	Kristiansund - Sogndal	1:1

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