Match Info

Motsepe Foundation Championship - Round 23

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday


	Kruger United		Lerumo Lions

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.2	3.7
	1.94	3.25	3.75
	1.93	3.26	3.72	Watch
	1.91	3	3.75
	1.93	3.44	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.85)	3.23 ↓ (3.28)	3.75 ↓ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kruger United
47.5%

Draw
28.2%

Lerumo Lions
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

27.9%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

27%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kruger United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Lerumo Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kruger United than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lerumo Lions than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Kruger United - Lerumo Lions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 11).

Kruger United is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lerumo Lions has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Kruger United is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kruger United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Lerumo Lions	5	2	1	2	5:4	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kruger United
South African First Division
20.03.26	Casric Stars - Kruger United	4:0 ✺
14.03.26	Kruger United - Milford	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Leicesterford City - Kruger United	1:1 ✺
27.02.26	Kruger United - Venda	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	Kruger United - Upington City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWTWW
- Lerumo Lions
South African First Division
18.03.26	Lerumo Lions - Upington City	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Lerumo Lions - Casric Stars	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Hungry Lions - Lerumo Lions	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Lerumo Lions - Cape Town City	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Venda - Lerumo Lions	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

South African First Division
13.09.25	Lerumo Lions - Kruger United	1:2

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