Match Info

Motsepe Foundation Championship - Round 22

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday


	Lerumo Lions		Upington City

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.8	2.75
	2.48	2.92	2.78
	2.58	2.85	2.78
	2.5	3.05	2.74	Watch
	2.4	3.2	2.63
	2.51	2.89	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.49)	2.95 ↓ (3.14)	2.73 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lerumo Lions
36.2%

Draw
30.6%

Upington City
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

29.1%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

30.7%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lerumo Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Upington City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lerumo Lions than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Upington City than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Lerumo Lions - Upington City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(0 - 2)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 7).

Lerumo Lions has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Upington City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lerumo Lions won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Upington City	5	2	2	1	9:8	1	8
9	Lerumo Lions	5	2	1	2	5:4	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lerumo Lions
South African First Division
14.03.26	Lerumo Lions - Casric Stars	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Hungry Lions - Lerumo Lions	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Lerumo Lions - Cape Town City	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Venda - Lerumo Lions	1:1 ✺
South African Nedbank Cup
08.02.26	Mkhambathi - Lerumo Lions	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TTLTL
- Upington City FC
South African First Division
14.03.26	Upington City - The Bees	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Gomora United - Upington City	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Upington City - Leicesterford City	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Kruger United - Upington City	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Highbury - Upington City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

South African First Division
30.11.25	Upington City - Lerumo Lions	3:0

Lerumo Lions - Upington City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide