Match Info

Date: 21 October 2020, Wednesday


	Krupa		Sarajevo

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.75	1.33
	6	4	1.44
	7	4.25	1.37
	6.8	4.3	1.36
	7.56	4.48	1.4
	8	4.2	1.33
	7.5	4.7	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.19 ↑ (6.43)	4.38 ↓ (4.88)	1.37 ↑ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krupa
12.7%

Draw
20.8%

Sarajevo
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.9%

18.3%

67.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

11.3%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krupa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Sarajevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krupa than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Krupa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarajevo than the current prediction. (-25%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sarajevo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Krupa - Sarajevo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Krupa is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sarajevo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Sarajevo is absolute favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Krupa won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 12-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Krupa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Krupa
Bosnian Premier League
17.10.20	Krupa - Mladost Doboj Kakanj	0:1 ✺
04.10.20	Široki Brijeg - Krupa	1:0 ✺
28.09.20	Krupa - Zrinjski Mostar	0:3 ✺
19.09.20	Željezničar Sarajevo - Krupa	0:1 ✺
13.09.20	Krupa - Sloboda Užice	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 LLLWL
- FK Sarajevo
Bosnian Premier League
17.10.20	Sarajevo - Široki Brijeg	2:0 ✺
05.10.20	Zrinjski Mostar - Sarajevo	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
01.10.20	Sarajevo - Celtic	0:1 ✺
24.09.20	Sarajevo - Budućnost Podgorica	2:1 ✺
Bosnian Premier League
20.09.20	Sloboda Užice - Sarajevo	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Bosnian Premier League
02.08.20	Krupa - Sarajevo	0:2
17.03.19	Sarajevo - Krupa	0:0
02.03.19	Sarajevo - Krupa	2:1
22.09.18	Krupa - Sarajevo	1:4
05.05.18	Krupa - Sarajevo	2:3
31.03.18	Sarajevo - Krupa	1:0
03.03.18	Krupa - Sarajevo	1:2

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