Match Info

Date: 28 September 2020, Monday


	Krupa		Zrinjski Mostar

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.3	1.8
	4.1	3.25	1.8
	3.95	2.9	1.85
	4.2	3.15	1.82
	4.53	3.26	1.89
	4.4	3.1	1.83
	4.3	3.22	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.24 ↓ (4.56)	3.17 ↓ (3.38)	1.83 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krupa
21.5%

Draw
28.8%

Zrinjski Mostar
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

26.5%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

17.5%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krupa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Zrinjski Mostar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krupa than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Krupa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zrinjski Mostar than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zrinjski Mostar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Krupa - Zrinjski Mostar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 and 7).

Krupa is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Zrinjski is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Krupa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Zrinjski is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Krupa won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 5-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Krupa won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Krupa
Bosnian Premier League
19.09.20	Željezničar Sarajevo - Krupa	0:1 ✺
13.09.20	Krupa - Sloboda Užice	2:3 ✺
31.08.20	Borac Banja Luka - Krupa	3:1 ✺
23.08.20	Krupa - Radnik Bijeljina	1:1 ✺
15.08.20	Velež Mostar - Krupa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WLLTL
- Zrinjski Mostar
UEFA Europa League
24.09.20	APOEL - Zrinjski Mostar	3:2 penalties ✺
17.09.20	Olimpija Ljubljana - Zrinjski Mostar	2:3 ET ✺
Bosnian Premier League
12.09.20	Zrinjski Mostar - Mladost Doboj Kakanj	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.20	Zrinjski Mostar - Differdange 03	3:0 ✺
Bosnian Premier League
22.08.20	Zrinjski Mostar - Sloboda Užice	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Bosnian Premier League
07.04.19	Zrinjski Mostar - Krupa	2:0
30.11.18	Zrinjski Mostar - Krupa	1:0
Bosnian Cup
03.10.18	Zrinjski Mostar - Krupa	2:1 penalties
Bosnian Premier League
01.09.18	Krupa - Zrinjski Mostar	1:2
20.05.18	Zrinjski Mostar - Krupa	4:0
14.04.18	Krupa - Zrinjski Mostar	0:1
18.11.17	Krupa - Zrinjski Mostar	1:0

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