Match Info

Date: 17 September 2020, Thursday


	Olimpija Ljubljana		Zrinjski Mostar

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	3
	2.15	3.2	3.1
	2.2	3.2	3.4	Watch
	2.21	2.9	3.15
	2.28	3.15	3.46
	2.2	3	3.25	Watch
	2.19	3.14	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.81)	3.11 ↓ (3.45)	3.25 ↓ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpija Ljubljana
42%

Draw
29.6%

Zrinjski Mostar
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

26.4%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

17.5%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpija Ljubljana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Olimpija Ljubljana's form might have worsened.

Zrinjski Mostar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zrinjski Mostar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpija Ljubljana than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olimpija Ljubljana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zrinjski Mostar than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zrinjski Mostar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.1%	9.7%	32.3%

Olimpija Ljubljana - Zrinjski Mostar Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Olimpija will win (votes: 18 - 58.1%). Zrinjski will win (votes: 10 - 32.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Olimpija: 40.7% – 75.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

No spectators.

Recent matches Olimpija is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Zrinjski is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Zrinjski have a series of home games.

Olimpija will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Olimpija Ljubljana
Slovenian PrvaLiga
13.09.20	Olimpija Ljubljana - Mura	0:0 ✺
30.08.20	Koper - Olimpija Ljubljana	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.20	Olimpija Ljubljana - Vikingur Reykjavik	2:1 ET ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
22.07.20	Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana	2:2 ✺
19.07.20	Olimpija Ljubljana - Tabor Sežana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TTWTL
- Zrinjski Mostar
Bosnian Premier League
12.09.20	Zrinjski Mostar - Mladost Doboj Kakanj	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.20	Zrinjski Mostar - Differdange 03	3:0 ✺
Bosnian Premier League
22.08.20	Zrinjski Mostar - Sloboda Užice	1:0 ✺
16.08.20	Borac Banja Luka - Zrinjski Mostar	1:0 ✺
12.08.20	Zrinjski Mostar - Radnik Bijeljina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWWLT

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