Match Info

Date: 13 October 2020, Tuesday


	Krylya Sovetov		Spartak 2 Moscow

	1	X	2
	1.28	5.25	9	Watch
	1.3	5	9
	1.26	4.7	8	Watch
	1.26	4.8	8.6
	1.29	5.69	10.24
	1.33	4.5	7	Watch
	1.29	5.45	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.31)	5.06 ↓ (5.06)	8.83 ↑ (8.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krylya Sovetov
71.4%

Draw
18.2%

Spartak 2 Moscow
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.4%

18.3%

11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

10%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krylya Sovetov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Spartak 2 Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krylya Sovetov than the current prediction. (-33%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Krylya Sovetov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak 2 Moscow than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spartak 2 Moscow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Krylya Sovetov - Spartak 2 Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to Premier League (Relegation) and 4 in the zone Promotion to Premier League (Relegation)).

Krylya Sovetov in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Spartak 2 M is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Krylya Sovetov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Krylya Sovetov is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Krylya Sovetov won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Krylya Sovetov won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Krylya Sovetov Samara
Russian FNL
09.10.20	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Krylya Sovetov	0:3 ✺
04.10.20	Krylya Sovetov - Alania Vladikavkaz	2:0 ✺
Russian Cup
30.09.20	Dynamo Stavropol - Krylya Sovetov	1:4 ✺
Russian FNL
27.09.20	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Krylya Sovetov	1:1 ✺
23.09.20	Krylya Sovetov - Dynamo Bryansk	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWTW
- Spartak 2 Moscow
Russian FNL
09.10.20	Spartak 2 Moscow - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	1:2 ✺
04.10.20	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Spartak 2 Moscow	0:2 ✺
27.09.20	Spartak 2 Moscow - SKA Khabarovsk	1:0 ✺
23.09.20	Alania Vladikavkaz - Spartak 2 Moscow	2:1 ✺
19.09.20	Spartak 2 Moscow - Veles Moscow	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
07.04.18	Krylya Sovetov - Spartak 2 Moscow	5:1
Russian FNL Cup
23.02.18	Krylya Sovetov - Spartak 2 Moscow	3:2 penalties
Russian FNL
11.09.17	Spartak 2 Moscow - Krylya Sovetov	0:3

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