Match Info

Date: 4 October 2020, Sunday


	Krylya Sovetov		Alania Vladikavkaz

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	5.75	Watch
	1.5	4.25	5.5
	1.48	3.95	5.1
	1.47	3.95	5.4
	1.48	4.61	6.37
	1.47	4.2	5.8
	1.52	4.33	5.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.51)	4.18 ↑ (4.09)	5.69 ↑ (5.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krylya Sovetov
61.8%

Draw
22%

Alania Vladikavkaz
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

22.5%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

13.8%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krylya Sovetov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Alania Vladikavkaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krylya Sovetov than the current prediction. (-24.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Krylya Sovetov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alania Vladikavkaz than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alania Vladikavkaz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Krylya Sovetov - Alania Vladikavkaz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 5 and 6).

Both teams in the last matches got series of victories.

Krylya Sovetov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Krylya Sovetov is a favorite.

One and the other team during the last matches got a chain of wins.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Krylya Sovetov Samara
Russian Cup
30.09.20	Dynamo Stavropol - Krylya Sovetov	1:4 ✺
Russian FNL
27.09.20	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Krylya Sovetov	1:1 ✺
23.09.20	Krylya Sovetov - Dynamo Bryansk	7:0 ✺
19.09.20	Irtysh Omsk - Krylya Sovetov	0:4 ✺
13.09.20	Krylya Sovetov - Tom Tomsk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTWWW
- Alania Vladikavkaz
Russian FNL
27.09.20	Alania Vladikavkaz - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	3:1 ✺
23.09.20	Alania Vladikavkaz - Spartak 2 Moscow	2:1 ✺
19.09.20	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:0 ✺
09.09.20	Irtysh Omsk - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:2 ✺
05.09.20	Tom Tomsk - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWTWW

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