Match Info

UKRAINE: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 9

Date: 2 October 2023, Monday

Location: Dnipro-Arena (Dnipro)

Referee: Blavatsky R. (Ukr)


	Dnipro-1		Kharkiv

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.6	8.25
	1.38	4.5	8	Watch
	1.4	4.7	8.17
	1.33	4.5	8.5
	1.35	4.65	8.6	Watch
	1.38	4.5	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.82)	4.58 ↑ (3.75)	8.19 ↑ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dnipro-1
68.2%

Draw
20.4%

Kharkiv
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

25.5%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

27%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dnipro-1 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dnipro-1's performance.

Kharkiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kharkiv might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dnipro-1 than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dnipro-1 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kharkiv than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kharkiv could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Dnipro 1 - Kharkiv Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Dnipro-1 will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Kharkiv will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Volynets Y. (G) 3. Adamyuk V. 39. Svatok O. (C) 5. Sarapiy E. 30. Kravets V. 26. Kapliyenko O. 9. Gutsulyak O. 8. Pikhalyonok O. 22. Rubchynskyi V. 17. Lednev B. 25. Kogut I.	37. Mozil O. (G) 29. Zhychykov M. 30. Bezuglyy M. 17. Kurylo I. 20. Chervak V. 6. Vachiberadze B. 28. Gabelok A. (C) 7. Ari Moura 79. Chyruk A. 22. Dmytrenko V. 9. Boryachuk A.
Substitutes
7. Filippov O. 20. Gorbunov S. 6. Gorin O. 12. Kinareikin Y. (G) 11. Miroshnichenko D. 42. Pasich Y. 4. Purita E. 34. Tanchyk V. 19. Vitinho 33. Yurchuk V. (G)	8. Martynuk Y. 12. Potimkov I. (G) 11. Remenyuk A. 5. Rudavskyi M. 1. Sydorenko D. (G) 97. Sydorov O. 19. Tkachuk A. 3. Tkachuk Y. 14. Yusov D.
Coaches
Maksymov Y.	Galovskyi E.

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dnipro-1 won 4.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Dnipro-1 is certain favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Dnipro-1 won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Dnipro-1 won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dnipro-1
Ukrainian Cup
27.09.23	Polissya Zhytomyr - Dnipro-1	2:1 penalties ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
24.09.23	Zorya Luhansk - Dnipro-1	0:1 ✺
17.09.23	Dnipro-1 - Kolos Kovalivka	1:1 ✺
03.09.23	Dnipro-1 - LNZ Cherkasy	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.08.23	Dnipro-1 - Spartak Trnava	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWTTL
- FC Kharkiv
Ukrainian Cup
27.09.23	Kharkiv - Vorskla Poltava	0:3 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
24.09.23	Kharkiv - Kolos Kovalivka	0:0 ✺
15.09.23	Kharkiv - Zorya Luhansk	2:1 ✺
03.09.23	Rukh Lviv - Kharkiv	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	LNZ Cherkasy - Kharkiv	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
02.04.23	Kharkiv - Dnipro-1	0:3
11.09.22	Dnipro-1 - Kharkiv	3:0
28.08.21	Kharkiv - Dnipro-1	1:2
Ukrainian Persha Liga
23.03.19	Kharkiv - Dnipro-1	1:2
11.08.18	Dnipro-1 - Kharkiv	0:2
Ukrainian Druha Liga
07.04.18	Dnipro-1 - Kharkiv	1:0
17.09.17	Kharkiv - Dnipro-1	1:1

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