Match Info

Premier League - Round 22

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Oleksiy Butovsky Vorskla Stadium (Poltava)

Referee: Raida M. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	GONET.TV
Czech-republic	goNET TV
Poland	GONETV
Slovakia	goNET TV
Spain	LaLiga+
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV, Watch UP
World	Onefootball


	Vorskla Poltava		Kryvbas

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.95	2.5
	2.9	2.95	2.6
	3.08	2.73	2.67	Watch
	2.9	2.8	2.6
	3.23	2.75	2.79	Watch
	2.9	2.95	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (3.24)	2.86 ↓ (3.15)	2.63 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vorskla Poltava
31.4%

Draw
32.9%

Kryvbas
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

29.7%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

28.5%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vorskla Poltava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Kryvbas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kryvbas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vorskla Poltava than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kryvbas than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kryvbas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Vorskla Poltava - Kryvbas Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vorskla will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Kryvbas will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Isenko P. (G) 27. Krupskyi I. 44. Khrypchuk D. 29. Batsula A. 4. Perduta I. (C) 23. Malysh N. 38. Chelyadin A. 11. Kane I. 6. Sklyar O. 33. Myakushko S. 17. Salabay A.	33. Klishchuk A. (G) 7. Ponedelnik A. 66. Konate B. 3. Romanchuk O. 55. Dibango I. 8. Ikenna C. 10. Khomchenovskyi D. (C) 21. Kuzyk D. 11. Tverdokhlib Y. 94. Zaderaka M. 20. Mykytyshyn A.
Substitutes
8. Avdyli M. 3. Faerron F. 77. Iyede S. 80. Ndukve D. 43. Ostrovskyi V. 18. Pavlyuk Y. 1. Yushchyshyn V. (G)	25. Bandeira 23. Ilic H. 40. Jurcec J. 61. Kamensky O. 1. Khoma B. (G) 14. Lunyov M. 30. Makhankov V. (G) 27. Matteo Amoroso 19. Ndombasi N. 9. Sosah D. 45. Vilivald V.
Coaches
Maksymov Y.	Vernydub Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Tverdokhlib Y. ⚽, Mykytyshyn A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Myakushko S. ↓, Ndukve D. ↑,
46', Batsula A. ↓, Pavlyuk Y. ↑,
51', Sklyar O. 🟨,
52', Sklyar O. ↓, Avdyli M. ↑,
56', Malysh N. 🟨,
58', Tverdokhlib Y. 🟨,
65', Chelyadin A. ↓, Iyede S. ↑,
66', Mykytyshyn A. ↓, Sosah D. ↑,
77', Tverdokhlib Y. ↓, Ilic H. ↑,
79', Malysh N. ↓, Ostrovskyi V. ↑,
90', Kuzyk D. ↓, Bandeira ↑,
90+3', Isenko P. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vorskla won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Kryvbas: Yakimets V. (Back Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Vorskla won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:12 (average 1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Vorskla won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:6 (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vorskla Poltava
Ukrainian Premier League
15.03.25	Rukh Lviv - Vorskla Poltava	0:1 ✺
06.03.25	Vorskla Poltava - Karpaty Lviv	0:0 ✺
28.02.25	Vorskla Poltava - Dynamo Kyiv	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Obolon - Vorskla Poltava	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.02.25	Vorskla Poltava - Argeș Pitești	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WTTLL
- FC Kryvbas
Ukrainian Premier League
06.03.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - Kryvbas	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Inhulets - Kryvbas	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Kryvbas - Veres Rivne	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
12.02.25	Sogndal - Kryvbas	2:2 ✺
09.02.25	Kryvbas - Levadia Tallinn	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
22.09.24	Kryvbas - Vorskla Poltava	1:1
08.04.24	Kryvbas - Vorskla Poltava	1:1
23.09.23	Vorskla Poltava - Kryvbas	1:4
19.05.23	Vorskla Poltava - Kryvbas	1:0
09.11.22	Kryvbas - Vorskla Poltava	1:0
18.11.12	Kryvbas - Vorskla Poltava	3:2
15.07.12	Vorskla Poltava - Kryvbas	0:1

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