Match Info

Premier League - Round 22

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Girnyk (Kryvyj Rih)

Referee: Afanasyev O. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV
World	Onefootball


	Kryvbas		LNZ Cherkasy

	1	X	2
	4.65	3.25	1.8
	5.16	3.38	1.76
	4.4	3.3	1.93
	4.8	3.2	1.75
	4.32	3.19	1.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.67 ↑ (3.23)	3.26 ↓ (3.49)	1.83 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kryvbas
20.1%

Draw
28.7%

LNZ Cherkasy
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

27.3%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

27.3%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kryvbas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kryvbas's form might have worsened.

LNZ Cherkasy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting LNZ Cherkasy's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kryvbas than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kryvbas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for LNZ Cherkasy than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for LNZ Cherkasy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	50%	37.5%

Kryvbas - LNZ Cherkasy Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kryvbas will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). LNZ will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Kemkin O. (G) 2. Jurcec J. 4. Vilivald V. 15. Jones J. 55. Dibango Y. 6. Araujo A. 18. Lin B. 94. Zaderaka M. (C) 8. Shevchenko Volodymyrovych Y. 7. Mendoza G. 9. Paraco C.	12. Palamarchuk O. (G) 11. Pasich G. 34. Muravskyi N. (C) 25. Gorin O. 14. Drambayev O. 19. Pastukh Y. 29. Didyk R. 16. Ryabov A. 22. Tverdokhlib Y. 90. Assinor M. 23. Kravchuk D.
Substitutes
5. Bekavac A. 25. Butenko T. 10. Herbert G. 21. Kamensky O. 1. Khoma B. (G) 30. Makhankov V. (G) 28. Maya J. 19. Mayakov Y. 24. Mulyk V. 3. Rojas C. 14. Seck A. 16. Thiago Borges	27. Bennette J. 4. Dajko A. 17. Kuzyk D. 1. Ledviy D. (G) 7. Mykytyshyn A. 5. Nonikashvili S. 33. Putrya I. 72. Samoylenko K. (G) 8. Yakubu A.
Coaches
van Leeuwen P.	Ponomaryov V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
55', 0 - 1, Kravchuk D. ⚽,
58', Assinor M. ↓, Mykytyshyn A. ↑,
64', Tverdokhlib Y. ↓, Kuzyk D. ↑,
65', 0 - 2, Kravchuk D. ⚽,
67', Shevchenko Volodymyrovych Y. ↓, Kamensky O. ↑,
67', Lin B. ↓, Seck A. ↑,
74', Pastukh Y. 🟨,
78', Mendoza G. ↓, Mulyk V. ↑,
78', Dibango Y. ↓, Bekavac A. ↑,
79', Ryabov A. ↓, Nonikashvili S. ↑,
83', Araujo A. ↓, Herbert G. ↑,
84', 0 - 3, Nonikashvili S. ⚽, Kuzyk D. (A),

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, LNZ is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kryvbas won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 1.6:0.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Kryvbas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	LNZ Cherkasy	7	2	2	3	5:8	-3	8
14	Kryvbas	6	1	2	3	7:10	-3	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kryvbas
Ukrainian Premier League
21.03.26	Kryvbas - Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Polissya Zhytomyr - Kryvbas	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Obolon - Kryvbas	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Kryvbas - Zorya Luhansk	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Kharkiv - Kryvbas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLTWT
- LNZ Cherkasy
Ukrainian Premier League
21.03.26	Rukh Lviv - LNZ Cherkasy	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	LNZ Cherkasy - Oleksandriya	2:0 ✺
09.03.26	Veres Rivne - LNZ Cherkasy	0:3 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
04.03.26	LNZ Cherkasy - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	0:1 penalties ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
28.02.26	LNZ Cherkasy - Polissya Zhytomyr	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
28.09.25	LNZ Cherkasy - Kryvbas	0:0
26.04.25	LNZ Cherkasy - Kryvbas	0:0
26.10.24	Kryvbas - LNZ Cherkasy	3:1
23.02.24	LNZ Cherkasy - Kryvbas	0:3
13.08.23	Kryvbas - LNZ Cherkasy	2:0

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