Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Shakhtar Donetsk		Kryvbas

	1	X	2
	1.34	5.32	7.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 (1.34)	5.32 (5.32)	7.09 (7.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shakhtar Donetsk
69.4%

Draw
17.5%

Kryvbas
13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74%

16.4%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Shakhtar Donetsk have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Kryvbas have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kryvbas than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Fesyun K. (G) 30. Alisson 20. Karavaev O. 9. Kaua Elias 8. Kryskiv D. 4. Marlon 6. Marlon Gomes 28. Matturro A. 11. Newerton 10. Pedrinho 17. Tobias V.	1. Khoma B. (G) 27. Godya D. 21. Kamenskyi O. 5. Kulbachuk V. 18. Lin B. 22. Machado J. 24. Mulyk V. 6. Pidgurskyi D. 7. Rivas Y. 8. Shevchenko Volodymyrovych Y. 16. Thiago Borges
Substitutes
34. Bahlay R. (G) 37. Lucas Ferreira 68. Obah P. 13. Pedro Henrique 71. Ryan Roberto 45. Smetana D. 24. Tsukanov V. 48. Tvardovskyi D. (G)	20. Bodnar M. 28. Cuiza S. 41. Danladi A. (G) 26. Korobka Y. 19. Mayakov Y. 9. Satchwell S. 14. Seck A. . Tovarnytskyi O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shakhtar won 3.

Shakhtar arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Kryvbas have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Shakhtar has recorded 7 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:11 (averaging 2.3:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Shakhtar against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 10:5 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shakhtar Donetsk
Ukrainian Premier League
20.09.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - LNZ Cherkasy	3:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
17.09.26	Vilkhivtsi - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:3 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
14.09.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Chornomorets Odesa	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.09.26	PSV Eindhoven - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:1 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
05.09.26	Karpaty Lviv - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWTW
- FC Kryvbas
Ukrainian Premier League
18.09.26	Polissya Zhytomyr - Kryvbas	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
08.09.26	Olympia Savyntsi - Kryvbas	0:2 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
05.09.26	Kryvbas - Kolos Kovalivka	2:2 ✺
30.08.26	Chornomorets Odesa - Kryvbas	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Kryvbas - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
17.05.26	Kryvbas - Shakhtar Donetsk	2:3
01.12.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - Kryvbas	2:2
16.04.25	Kryvbas - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:2
06.03.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - Kryvbas	1:1
03.03.24	Shakhtar Donetsk - Kryvbas	5:2
20.08.23	Kryvbas - Shakhtar Donetsk	3:3
12.03.23	Kryvbas - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:3

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shakhtar Donetsk
UEFA Champions League
03.11.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Sporting Lisbon	✺
Ukrainian Premier League
30.10.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Obolon	✺
- FC Kryvbas
Ukrainian Premier League
02.11.26	Kryvbas - Dynamo Kyiv	✺
Ukrainian Cup
29.10.26	Zorya Luhansk - Kryvbas	✺

Shakhtar Donetsk - Kryvbas