Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Girnyk (Kryvyj Rih)

Referee: Kalionov O. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV
World	Onefootball


	Kryvbas		Obolon

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.25	4
	1.9	3.25	4.05
	2.14	3.14	3.68
	1.95	3.1	3.9
	1.99	3.38	4.26	Watch
	1.99	3.05	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.82)	3.2 ↑ (3.09)	4 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kryvbas
47.2%

Draw
29.3%

Obolon
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

29%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

30.2%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kryvbas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Obolon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kryvbas than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Obolon than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Kryvbas - Obolon Predictions

Users Predictions: Kryvbas will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kryvbas will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Kemkin O. (G) 2. Jurcec J. 6. Konate B. 4. Vilivald V. 16. Thiago Borges 27. Araujo A. 18. Lin B. 94. Zaderaka M. (C) 11. Tverdokhlib Y. 7. Mendoza G. 9. Paraco C.	1. Fedorivsky N. (G) 55. Sukhanov S. 50. Semenov D. 95. Kurko V. 37. Dubko V. 5. Shevchenko Y. 10. Slobodyan O. (C) 6. Chekh M. 17. Chernenko R. 40. Nesterenko I. 9. Ustymenko D.
Substitutes
5. Bekavac A. 14. de Jesus Lima G. 26. Flores J. 17. Gonzalez M. 21. Kamensky O. 1. Khoma B. (G) 30. Makhankov V. (G) 24. Mulyk V. 3. Rojas C. 8. Shevchenko Volodymyrovych Y.	7. Bliznichenko V. 28. Chornyi A. 22. Feshchenko O. 70. Korkh K. 8. Kulakovskyi A. 32. Lomnytskyi A. 42. Pasich Y. 24. Prokopenko Y. 23. Stashkiv V. (G) 99. Teslyuk D.
Coaches
van Leeuwen P.	Antonenko O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Konate B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Sukhanov S. ↓, Pasich Y. ↑,
59', 1 - 0, Tverdokhlib Y. ⚽, Mendoza G. (A),
60', Chernenko R. ↓, Prokopenko Y. ↑,
60', Ustymenko D. ↓, Teslyuk D. ↑,
64', Paraco C. ↓, Kamensky O. ↑,
68', Chekh M. 🟨,
68', Tverdokhlib Y. 🟨,
70', 2 - 0, Tverdokhlib Y. (Pen),
72', Nesterenko I. ↓, Chornyi A. ↑,
77', Chekh M. ↓, Kulakovskyi A. ↑,
83', Lin B. ↓, Shevchenko Volodymyrovych Y. ↑,
83', Tverdokhlib Y. ↓, Bekavac A. ↑,
84', Araujo A. 🟨,
87', 2 - 1, Teslyuk D. ⚽, Pasich Y. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kryvbas won 3.

Kryvbas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Obolon is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kryvbas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Kryvbas has had a series of away games.

In this match, Kryvbas is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kryvbas won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 0.5:0).

Including home matches between the teams, Kryvbas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kryvbas
Ukrainian Cup
24.08.25	Kulykiv-Bilka - Kryvbas	0:3 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
18.08.25	Zorya Luhansk - Kryvbas	2:3 ✺
09.08.25	Kryvbas - Kharkiv	2:0 ✺
01.08.25	Kolos Kovalivka - Kryvbas	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Dinamo Zagreb - Kryvbas	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWLL
- Obolon Kyiv
Ukrainian Cup
24.08.25	Kharkiv - Obolon	2:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
15.08.25	Rukh Lviv - Obolon	1:2 ✺
10.08.25	Obolon - Oleksandriya	1:0 ✺
04.08.25	Kharkiv - Obolon	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Obolon - Veres Rivne	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
17.05.25	Kryvbas - Obolon	1:0
24.11.24	Obolon - Kryvbas	0:1
09.03.24	Kryvbas - Obolon	1:0
28.08.23	Obolon - Kryvbas	0:0
Ukrainian Persha Liga
01.10.21	Obolon - Kryvbas	0:0
Ukrainian Premier League
13.04.12	Obolon - Kryvbas	0:0

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