Match Info

Kakkonen Group B - Winners stage

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Leppavaara stadium (Espoo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Honka		Åbo IFK

	1	X	2
	1.18	7.25	8.75
	1.32	4.90	6.25
	1.17	6.47	11.53
	1.17	6.48	12.05	Watch
	1.13	6.3	11
	1.17	6.15	11.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.46)	6.26 ↑ (4.25)	10.15 ↑ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Honka
76.5%

Draw
14.5%

Åbo IFK
9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

20.9%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

20.4%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Honka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Honka's performance.

Åbo IFK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Åbo IFK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Honka than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Honka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Åbo IFK than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Åbo IFK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Honka - Åbo IFK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. King S. (G) 17. Ahokas B. 3. Aijala E. (C) 20. Al Wehliye K. 2. Hamalainen J. 46. Haruna B. 27. Lehto J. 9. Mahmood M. 25. Ritala A. 15. Sundman J. 8. Woivalin H.	12. Rahila J. (G) 11. Berg V. 14. Gronlund F. 16. Honkasalo H. 15. Isoniemi V. 19. Kala L. 29. Nikkola O. 26. Paattakainen A. 5. Tran C. (C) 30. Untamala E. 25. Vuorenmaa J.
Substitutes
14. Chukwu N. 11. Heikkinen B. 13. Huttunen O. 22. Jannes A. 23. Liikonen K. 29. Paraiso A. 5. Tukia O. 28. Umeh C. 12. Viljala V. (G)	8. Barbata Y. 13. Enqvist E. 23. Laine V. 18. Lehtinen E. 28. Naseri K. 1. Saarinen H. (G) 7. Siirtola J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Haruna B. 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Al Wehliye K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Rahila J. ↓, Saarinen H. ↑,
46', Hamalainen J. 🟨,
63', Honkasalo H. ↓, Lehtinen E. ↑,
71', Woivalin H. ↓, Jannes A. ↑,
71', Mahmood M. ↓, Liikonen K. ↑,
74', 2 - 0, Lehto J. ⚽,
75', Kala L. 🟨,
79', Untamala E. ↓, Naseri K. ↑,
80', Lehto J. ↓, Heikkinen B. ↑,
82', 3 - 0, Liikonen K. ⚽,
84', Nikkola O. ↓, Siirtola J. ↑,
84', Vuorenmaa J. ↓, Barbata Y. ↑,
84', Hamalainen J. ↓, Tukia O. ↑,
84', Haruna B. ↓, Umeh C. ↑,

Preview

Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

In this match, Honka enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Honka has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:1 (averaging 1:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Honka against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Honka
Finnish Kakkonen Group B
13.09.26	Ilves 2 - Honka	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Honka - HJS	5:1 ✺
02.09.26	Espoon Palloseura - Honka	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Honka - P-Iirot Rauma	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Esbo Bollklubb - Honka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWWTW
- Åbo IFK
Finnish Kakkonen Group B
12.09.26	Åbo IFK - HJS	3:1 ✺
06.09.26	Åbo IFK - Espoon Palloseura	0:0 ✺
02.09.26	P-Iirot Rauma - Åbo IFK	2:1 ✺
28.08.26	Åbo IFK - Ilves 2	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	P-Iirot Rauma - Åbo IFK	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group B
26.06.26	Åbo IFK - Honka	0:1
18.04.26	Honka - Åbo IFK	1:1

Honka - Åbo IFK: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide