Match Info

Kakkonen Play Offs - Final

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Leppavaara stadium (Espoo) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	18:30	Ruutu+


	Honka		Åbo IFK

	1	X	2
	1.28	5.00	7.75
	1.27	5.20	7.00
	1.35	5.44	8.10
	1.33	5.2	6.6	Watch
	1.33	5.35	6.60
	1.33	5.25	7.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.41)	5.24 ↑ (4.6)	7.32 ↑ (5.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Honka
69.9%

Draw
17.5%

Åbo IFK
12.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.4%

19.7%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

18.8%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Honka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Honka's performance.

Åbo IFK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Honka than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Åbo IFK than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Honka - Åbo IFK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. King S. (G) 17. Ahokas B. 3. Aijala E. 20. Al Wehliye K. 2. Hamalainen J. 27. Lehto J. 9. Mahmood M. 6. Pyyskanen R. (C) 25. Ritala A. 15. Sundman J. 28. Umeh C.	1. Saarinen H. (G) 8. Barbata Y. 13. Enqvist E. 14. Gronlund F. 4. Johansson V. 10. Kaari J. 19. Kala L. 23. Laine V. 3. Louhela M. 22. Niemi A. 29. Nikkola O.
Substitutes
14. Chukwu N. 46. Haruna B. 11. Heikkinen B. 13. Huttunen O. 22. Jannes A. 23. Liikonen K. 29. Paraiso A. 12. Viljala V. (G) 8. Woivalin H.	11. Berg V. 15. Isoniemi V. 2. Kanerva E. 18. Lehtinen E. 26. Paattakainen A. 12. Rahila J. (G) 5. Tran C. 30. Untamala E. 25. Vuorenmaa J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Mahmood M. ⚽,
35', Sundman J. 🟨,
38', Kaari J. ↓, Untamala E. ↑,
44', Niemi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Gronlund F. 🟨,
54', 2 - 0, Umeh C. ⚽,
59', 🟨,
62', Hamalainen J. ↓, Chukwu N. ↑,
66', Laine V. ↓, Berg V. ↑,
66', Kala L. ↓, Isoniemi V. ↑,
68', Lehto J. ↓, Jannes A. ↑,
68', Mahmood M. ↓, Heikkinen B. ↑,
81', Pyyskanen R. ↓, Woivalin H. ↑,
81', Umeh C. ↓, Liikonen K. ↑,
83', Enqvist E. ↓, Tran C. ↑,
83', Johansson V. ↓, Kanerva E. ↑,
88', 🟨,
90+2', Barbata Y. 🟥,
90+4', 🟨,
90+5', Gronlund F. 🟥,

Preview

First leg result: 1-0.

Honka has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

ÅIFK has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

ÅIFK could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The betting markets point to Honka as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Honka has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:1 (averaging 1.5:0.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Honka against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 4:1 goals (averaging 2:0.5 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Honka
Finnish Kakkonen Play Offs
17.10.26	Åbo IFK - Honka	0:1 ✺
10.10.26	Honka - JBK	3:0 ✺
02.10.26	JBK - Honka	0:0 ✺
Finnish Kakkonen Group B
19.09.26	Honka - Åbo IFK	3:0 ✺
13.09.26	Ilves 2 - Honka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWTWL
- Åbo IFK
Finnish Kakkonen Play Offs
17.10.26	Åbo IFK - Honka	0:1 ✺
Finnish Kakkonen Group B
19.09.26	Honka - Åbo IFK	3:0 ✺
12.09.26	Åbo IFK - HJS	3:1 ✺
06.09.26	Åbo IFK - Espoon Palloseura	0:0 ✺
02.09.26	P-Iirot Rauma - Åbo IFK	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Play Offs
17.10.26	Åbo IFK - Honka	0:1
Finnish Kakkonen Group B
19.09.26	Honka - Åbo IFK	3:0
26.06.26	Åbo IFK - Honka	0:1
18.04.26	Honka - Åbo IFK	1:1

Honka - Åbo IFK