FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 - Promotion Group - Round 4
Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday
Kuban-Kholding
FC Sevastopol
1
X
2
2.69
2.71
2.71
2.22
3.2
2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)
2.46 ↓ (3)
2.96 ↓ (3.18)
2.71 ↑ (2.22)
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
The best margin for this event is 11%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kuban-Kholding 36.5%
Draw 30.4%
FC Sevastopol 33.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.4%
28.6%
41%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.2%
27.5%
42.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kuban-Kholding has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kuban-Kholding's performance.
FC Sevastopol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and FC Sevastopol might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kuban-Kholding than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kuban-Kholding that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Sevastopol than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that FC Sevastopol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kuban Kholding - FC Sevastopol Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
15. Stenyakin A. (G) 13. Babayan R. 44. Dashaev A. 11. Dmitriev M. 10. Fadeev N. 20. Kartashov D. 21. Orazaev I. 18. Popov O. 14. Sapozhnikov I. 2. Tagiev N. 27. Zakharov I.
22. Kucheyko V. (G) 17. Aliev B. 25. Aliev Z. 6. Dugu A. 3. Ganus V. 15. Livadnov E. 80. Maksimov I. 14. Mokshin I. 8. Osmanov R. 37. Potapov L. 33. Zubavlenko V.
Substitutes
19. Grechkin A. 16. Kopylov S. (G) 8. Kotov D. 26. Marinchenko D. 23. Mikhailov D. 6. Pereverzev D. 24. Sergienko I. 22. Smirnov M. 17. Solovjev D. 12. Veselovskiy R. 30. Vitulin D.
11. Gevlych V. 52. Isaev M. 79. Ivanov D. 7. Mironenko V. 9. Ruban S. 77. Smirnov A. 88. Tyshchenko R. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Mokshin I. 🟨,
45+1', Tagiev N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
70', Fadeev N. ↓, Mikhailov D. ↑,
72', Livadnov E. 🟨,
73', Popov O. 🟨,
75', Dugu A. 🟨,
81', Sapozhnikov I. ↓, Sergienko I. ↑,
88', Zakharov I. ↓, Smirnov M. ↑,
90+1', Aliev B. ↓, Gevlych V. ↑,
90+1', Mokshin I. ↓, Isaev M. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kuban-Kholding won 0.
In recent matches, Kuban-Kholding has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Sevastopol is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Recently, Kuban-Kholding has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kuban-Kholding won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Kuban-Kholding won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).
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Stenyakin A. (G) 
Babayan R. 
Gevlych V. 
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