Match Info

Russian Cup - Regions Path - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match TV


	Kuban-Kholding		Volga Ulyanovsk

	1	X	2
	2.74	3.35	2.29
	3.08	3.61	2.39	Watch
	3.33	2.83	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↓ (5.06)	3.26 ↑ (3.24)	2.26 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kuban-Kholding
30.4%

Draw
28.5%

Volga Ulyanovsk
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.3%

30.2%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

31%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kuban-Kholding has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kuban-Kholding's performance.

Volga Ulyanovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Volga Ulyanovsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kuban-Kholding than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kuban-Kholding that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volga Ulyanovsk than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Volga Ulyanovsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kuban Kholding - Volga Ulyanovsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Stenyakin A. (G) 13. Babayan R. 44. Dashaev A. (C) 11. Dmitriev M. 4. Garaev R. 20. Kartashov D. 23. Mikhailov D. 21. Orazaev I. 18. Popov O. 14. Sapozhnikov I. 27. Zakharov I.	1. Kenyaykin A. (G) 17. Gershun I. 77. Gutsa A. 92. Kasyanov I. 30. Khabibullin A. (C) 99. Kostin A. 20. Kovalev K. 82. Larionov K. 87. Pshennikov E. 22. Rakhmanov D. 19. Rudenko V.
Substitutes
10. Fadeev N. 16. Kopylov S. (G) 26. Marinchenko D. 6. Pereverzev D. 24. Sergienko I. 22. Smirnov M. 17. Solovjev D. 2. Tagiev N. 12. Veselovskiy R. 30. Vitulin D.	9. Kamenshchikov D. 6. Kozlov I. 7. Murza A. 8. Rakhmanov D. 86. Shaykhutdinov V. (G) 27. Umnikov M. 14. Yakovlev V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Popov O. ⚽,
13', Rakhmanov D. ↓, Kamenshchikov D. ↑,
38', Gutsa A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Rudenko V. ↓, Yakovlev V. ↑,
46', Pshennikov E. ↓, Murza A. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Yakovlev V. ⚽,
50', 1 - 2, Kamenshchikov D. ⚽,
56', 2 - 2, Mikhailov D. ⚽,
59', Kovalev K. 🟨,
62', Mikhailov D. ↓, Pereverzev D. ↑,
73', Popov O. ↓, Fadeev N. ↑,
74', Kostin A. ↓, Kozlov I. ↑,
74', Gutsa A. ↓, Rakhmanov D. ↑,
81', Kamenshchikov D. 🟨,
84', Kasyanov I. 🟨,
84', Sapozhnikov I. ↓, Vitulin D. ↑,
84', Dmitriev M. ↓, Solovjev D. ↑,
Penalties (8 - 7)
1, Kamenshchikov D. (Pen),
1, Garaev R. (Pen),
2, Kasyanov I. (Pen),
2, Fadeev N. (Pen),
3, Murza A. (Pen),
3, Solovjev D. (Pen),
4, Gershun I. (Pen),
4, Kartashov D. (Pen),
5, Yakovlev V. (Pen),
5, Orazaev I. (Pen),
6, Rakhmanov D. (Pen),
6, Vitulin D. (Pen),
7, Larionov K. (Pen),
7, Dashaev A. (Pen),
8, Kozlov I. (Pen),
8, Zakharov I. (Pen),
9, Kovalev K. (Pen),
9, Babayan R. (Pen),

Preview

Kuban-Kholding is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Volga Ulyanovsk has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Volga Ulyanovsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Volga Ulyanovsk might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kuban-Kholding
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
20.09.25	Kuban-Kholding - Rostov 2	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Kuban-Kholding - Astrakhan	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
10.09.25	Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk - Kuban-Kholding	0:3 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
06.09.25	Nart Cherkessk - Kuban-Kholding	3:2 ✺
30.08.25	Angust Nazran - Kuban-Kholding	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 TWWLW
- FC Volga Ulyanovsk
Russian FNL
20.09.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:4 ✺
12.09.25	Torpedo Moscow - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:3 ✺
07.09.25	Shinnik - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Arsenal Tula	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWLTW

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