The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kuban Krasnodar 27.4%
Draw 31.6%
Kaluga 41%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.2%
29.1%
51.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.8%
28.5%
52.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kuban Krasnodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kuban Krasnodar's performance.
Kaluga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kaluga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kuban Krasnodar than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kuban Krasnodar that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaluga than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kaluga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kuban Krasnodar - Kaluga Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Nesterenko Y. (G) 87. Bezdenezhnykh I. 6. Fust L. 91. Kulikov A. 78. Melnikov D. 10. Moseychuk I. 19. Osipov E. 81. Pechura R. 9. Reykhmen B. 17. Smirnov D. 37. Vedeneev M.
35. Dorovskikh V. (G) 33. Daliev D. 86. Ershov K. 5. Konovalov V. 47. Kravtsov Z. 17. Matyushenko I. 10. Pershin Y. 32. Sokolov I. 88. Supagin N. 37. Ushakov E. 8. Yugaldin D.
Substitutes
13. Ageev M. 72. Gayvoronskiy D. 15. Kravchuk E. 28. Molteninov I. 27. Ofitserov M. 77. Orlov A. 96. Smirnov A. 24. Ternovskiy D. (G)
22. Detenyshev I. 68. Grigoriev A. (G) 19. Kuzin N. Y. 6. Kuzmin A. 12. Lipaev E. 77. Maksimchuk A. 7. Zaretskiy D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Vedeneev M. 🟨,
26', Kulikov A. 🟨,
27', Ushakov E. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Fust L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Pershin Y. ↓, Kuzin N. Y. ↑,
55', Sokolov I. ↓, Maksimchuk A. ↑,
57', Melnikov D. ↓, Ofitserov M. ↑,
64', Fust L. ↓, Ageev M. ↑,
64', Reykhmen B. ↓, Molteninov I. ↑,
65', Pechura R. ↓, Smirnov A. ↑,
69', Ushakov E. ↓, Kuzmin A. ↑,
69', Kravtsov Z. ↓, Zaretskiy D. ↑,
72', Smirnov D. 🟨,
73', Smirnov D. ↓, Orlov A. ↑,
83', 2 - 0, Smirnov A. ⚽,
85', Yugaldin D. ↓, Lipaev E. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Spring Season: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Spring Season: )).
Recent form of Kuban has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Kaluga is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Kaluga has had a series of home games.
In this match, Kaluga is seen as the favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kuban won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Kuban won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
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Nesterenko Y. (G) 
Fust L. 
Pechura R. 
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