The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Torpedo Miass 35.3%
Draw 31.9%
Kaluga 32.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.4%
31.1%
33.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.8%
32.4%
32.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Torpedo Miass has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Kaluga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo Miass than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaluga than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Torpedo Miass - Kaluga Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
27. Kovalev R. (G) 90. Borisenko G. 50. Faizullin D. 8. Gorovykh D. 17. Kotelnikov I. 22. Kuzmin D. 5. Lopatko E. (C) 11. Pavlov D. 21. Rubanov D. 61. Stolbov S. 67. Tkachuk R.
1. Shakerov R. (G) 77. Balashov K. 14. Chibisov S. 33. Daliev D. 10. Grishchenko I. 91. Lukinykh E. 17. Matyushenko I. (C) 3. Osadchiy I. 4. Polev A. 32. Sokolov I. 8. Yugaldin D.
Substitutes
57. Albastov A. (G) 4. Baksheev N. 2. Balakhonov A. 77. Bezzubov V. (G) 69. Cherepanov S. 98. Fadeev N. 6. Ibragimov E. 9. Khlynov N. 44. Popov V. 46. Tarasov M. 19. Tsikishev V. 7. Zamyatin D.
7. Akimov E. 23. Boldyrev B. 35. Dorovskikh V. (G) 21. Ilyin S. 2. Krotov S. 19. Kuzin N. Y. 6. Kuzmin A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Kuzmin D. 🟨,
10', Pavlov D. 🟨,
29', Kotelnikov I. 🟨,
32', Lopatko E. 🟨,
35', Daliev D. ↓, Krotov S. ↑,
45+3', Krotov S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kuzmin D. ↓, Tarasov M. ↑,
46', Pavlov D. ↓, Tsikishev V. ↑,
55', Yugaldin D. 🟨,
62', Grishchenko I. ↓, Ilyin S. ↑,
62', Sokolov I. ↓, Akimov E. ↑,
73', Faizullin D. ↓, Zamyatin D. ↑,
77', Osadchiy I. ↓, Kuzin N. Y. ↑,
77', Polev A. ↓, Kuzmin A. ↑,
81', Rubanov D. ↓, Popov V. ↑,
89', Kotelnikov I. ↓, Ibragimov E. ↑,
90+1', Kuzmin A. 🟨,
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Fall Season: ) and 8 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Fall Season: ))
Torpedo Miass is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Kaluga's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Recently, Kaluga has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Torpedo Miass won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Torpedo Miass won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).