Match Info

Kategoria e Parë - Round 6

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Kukësi		Besa Kavajë

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.4	1.6
	5.16	3.8	1.54
	5.8	3.38	1.58	Watch
	4.8	3.4	1.55
	6.28	3.48	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.37 ↑ (2.75)	3.49 ↑ (3.15)	1.56 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kukësi
16.7%

Draw
25.7%

Besa Kavajë
57.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.6%

28.5%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

28.8%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kukësi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kukësi's form might have worsened.

Besa Kavajë has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Besa Kavajë's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kukësi than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kukësi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Besa Kavajë than the current prediction. (-19.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Besa Kavajë, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
80', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 8th and 2nd in the Promotion - Abissnet Superiore).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kukësi won 2.

Kukësi has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Besa is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Besa is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Kukësi has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:18 (averaging 0.9:2.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Kukësi against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:6 goals (averaging 1:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Besa Kavaje	6	3	1	2	15:7	8	10
5	Kukesi	6	3	0	3	8:7	1	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Kukësi
Albanian First Division
10.10.26	Bylis Ballsh - Kukësi	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Kukësi - Korabi Peshkopi	3:0 ✺
16.09.26	Kukësi - Pogradeci	0:3 ✺
12.09.26	Iliria - Kukësi	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Kukësi - Besëlidhja Lezhë	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLLW
- Besa Kavajë
Albanian First Division
11.10.26	Besa Kavajë - Iliria	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Besëlidhja Lezhë - Besa Kavajë	2:1 ✺
16.09.26	Besa Kavajë - Oriku	5:0 ✺
12.09.26	Sopoti Librazhd - Besa Kavajë	0:4 ✺
06.09.26	Besa Kavajë - Flamurtari Vlorë	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Albanian First Division
03.05.26	Kukësi - Besa Kavajë	2:1
31.01.26	Kukësi - Besa Kavajë	1:0
Albanian Cup
19.11.25	Besa Kavajë - Kukësi	3:1
Albanian First Division
29.10.25	Besa Kavajë - Kukësi	3:1
16.02.25	Besa Kavajë - Kukësi	2:1
02.02.25	Besa Kavajë - Kukësi	2:1
30.10.24	Kukësi - Besa Kavajë	0:5

Kukësi - Besa Kavajë: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide