Match Info

FINLAND: Kakkonen Group C

Date: 15 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Vare Areena (Kuopio)


	Kuopion Elo		Närpes

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.4	4.5
	1.53	4.5	4.75
	1.52	4.59	4.72
	1.52	4.6	4.72
	1.4	4.6	5
	1.51	4.7	4.91
	1.51	4.6	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.82)	4.57 ↑ (4)	4.74 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kuopion Elo
60.8%

Draw
19.9%

Närpes
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

22.7%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

23.2%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kuopion Elo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kuopion Elo's performance.

Närpes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Närpes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kuopion Elo than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kuopion Elo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Närpes than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Närpes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kuopion Elo - Närpes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Lindstrom A. (G) 11. Eskelinen O. 27. Heiskanen T. 18. Kauhanen J. 21. Kosunen L. 33. Kylen K. (C) 20. Lehtimaki V. 15. Liimatainen S. 4. Lipponen J. 19. Miettinen E. 14. Nissinen J.	31. Eriksson K. (G) 6. Bjorkqvist T. 2. Hammarstrom O. 13. Ibric N. 9. Isanovic S. 7. Kalabic A. 3. Laine H. 22. Larka A. 4. Muzyka O. 11. Sparv A. 18. Westerholm A.
Substitutes
13. Berg N. 9. Kekalainen I. 35. Loukojarvi J. 37. Luomala N. 28. Niinisalo K. 1. Niskanen E. (G) 24. Voutilainen J.	20. Bergvik V. 10. Jarvinen A. 27. Juslin F. 19. Pomba L. 5. Velic A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Lehtimaki V. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Heiskanen T. ⚽,
33', Lehtimaki V. 🟨,
38', Eskelinen O. ↓, Voutilainen J. ↑,
40', Muzyka O. 🟨,
43', Kalabic A. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
50', 2 - 0, Kosunen L. ⚽,
56', Larka A. 🟨,
60', Larka A. ↓, Jarvinen A. ↑,
63', Muzyka O. 🟨,
63', Muzyka O. 🟨,
64', 3 - 0, Heiskanen T. ⚽,
71', Kalabic A. ↓, Pomba L. ↑,
72', 4 - 0, Kauhanen J. ⚽,
72', Liimatainen S. ↓, Niinisalo K. ↑,
73', Heiskanen T. ↓, Kekalainen I. ↑,
75', 4 - 1, Isanovic S. ⚽,
81', Laine H. ↓, Bergvik V. ↑,
87', Kauhanen J. ↓, Berg N. ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kuopion Elo
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
09.06.24	GBK Kokkola - Kuopion Elo	4:3 ✺
03.06.24	Kuopion Elo - JS Hercules	1:2 ✺
25.05.24	SJK Akatemia 2 - Kuopion Elo	1:1 ✺
19.05.24	Kuopion Elo - Oulun Palloseura	5:2 ✺
12.05.24	TP-47 - Kuopion Elo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLTWT
- Närpes Kraft Fotbollsförening
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
08.06.24	SJK Akatemia 2 - Närpes	2:3 ✺
02.06.24	Närpes - TP-47	2:2 ✺
26.05.24	Närpes - JPS	1:1 ✺
18.05.24	OTP - Närpes	0:1 ✺
12.05.24	Närpes - GBK Kokkola	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group C
10.09.23	Närpes - Kuopion Elo	4:0
17.06.23	Kuopion Elo - Närpes	1:1

Kuopion Elo - Närpes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide