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Current Win Probability
SJK Akatemia 2 47%
Draw 21.6%
Närpes 31.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.6%
21.2%
28.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.8%
22.1%
27%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SJK Akatemia 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
Närpes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for SJK Akatemia 2 than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SJK Akatemia 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Närpes than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
SJK Akatemia 2 - Närpes Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Huttunen L. (G) 46. Etelaaho O. 37. Harju L. (C) 50. Honkola H. 55. Kuusisto L. 40. Matinlauri J. 42. Mbumba D. 41. Moilanen I. 27. Nikkila J. 29. Rantasalmi N. 48. Rintamaki L.
12. Kaarre M. (G) 4. Abonde J. 8. Avdili A. 5. Badnjevic R. 20. Bergvik V. 17. Etoka L. 13. Ibric N. (C) 10. Kadic B. 7. Kalabic A. 18. Westerholm A. 11. Wulff W.
Substitutes
33. Asumus A. 44. Lahti E. 43. Lehtinen J. 52. Liettya E. 34. Makela E. (G) 53. Makinen S. 51. Moilanen M. 54. Oliveira N. 47. Tiitinen A.
21. Chidobe O. 1. Eriksson Z. (G) 9. Isanovic S. 27. Juslin F. 14. Krak E. 3. Laine H. 31. Norrgard J. (G) 19. Pomba L. 6. Sifet B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
3', 0 - 1, Kadic B. ⚽,
16', 0 - 2, Ibric N. ⚽,
30', 0 - 3, Bergvik V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Etelaaho O. ↓, Makinen S. ↑,
46', Mbumba D. ↓, Lehtinen J. ↑,
46', Moilanen I. ↓, Lahti E. ↑,
48', Rantasalmi N. 🟨,
51', Bergvik V. 🟨,
64', Rantasalmi N. ↓, Asumus A. ↑,
68', Etoka L. ↓, Pomba L. ↑,
68', Kadic B. ↓, Isanovic S. ↑,
68', Bergvik V. ↓, Laine H. ↑,
74', Kuusisto L. ↓, Tiitinen A. ↑,
76', Wulff W. ↓, Sifet B. ↑,
79', 0 - 4, Isanovic S. ⚽,
80', Abonde J. ↓, Juslin F. ↑,
84', Sifet B. 🟨,
86', Westerholm A. 🟨,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group C (Winners stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group C (Winners stage: ))
In recent matches, SJK Akatemia 2 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Närpes is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
SJK Akatemia 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SJK Akatemia 2 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 2.2:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, SJK Akatemia 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).