Match Info

FINLAND: Kakkonen Group C

Date: 30 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Vare Areena (Kuopio)


	Kuopion Elo		OTP

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.75	5
	1.47	4.55	5.55
	1.48	5.42	4.8
	1.43	5.2	5.04
	1.35	4.8	5.5
	1.43	5.05	5.5
	1.41	4.9	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.4)	4.95 ↓ (5.2)	5.23 ↓ (5.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kuopion Elo
64.1%

Draw
18.5%

OTP
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

17.6%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

12.1%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kuopion Elo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

OTP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kuopion Elo than the current prediction. (-19.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kuopion Elo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for OTP than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that OTP could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kuopion Elo - OTP Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Lindstrom A. (G) 11. Eskelinen O. 27. Heiskanen T. 18. Kauhanen J. 9. Kekalainen I. 21. Kosunen L. 33. Kylen K. (C) 4. Lipponen J. 35. Loukojarvi J. 37. Luomala N. 19. Miettinen E.	1. Slewa G. (G) 8. Adebowale B. 7. Bohui C. 80. Fathi J. 24. Jibrin A. (C) 21. Luolavirta N. 6. Makarainen H. 3. Meglinski N. 50. Ntambwe Y. 4. Obagbemiro F. 30. Savolainen R.
Substitutes
88. Ferahyan F. (G) 28. Niinisalo K. 1. Niskanen E. (G) 10. Pentikainen P. 7. Siltavuori M. 24. Voutilainen J.	13. Espada L. (G) 35. Ibiyomi M. 14. Inalli A. 2. Keinanen A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Eskelinen O. ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Eskelinen O. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', 3 - 0, Eskelinen O. ⚽,
66', Luolavirta N. ↓, Keinanen A. ↑,
66', Loukojarvi J. ↓, Niinisalo K. ↑,
69', Jibrin A. 🟨,
72', 4 - 0, Eskelinen O. ⚽,
72', Kauhanen J. ↓, Siltavuori M. ↑,
74', Eskelinen O. ↓, Pentikainen P. ↑,
74', Heiskanen T. ↓, Voutilainen J. ↑,
77', Ntambwe Y. ↓, Inalli A. ↑,
77', Slewa G. ↓, Espada L. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group C (Winners stage: ) and 10 in the zone Kakkonen Group C (Losers stage: )).

The competitors look crappy now.

In this match Kuopion Elo is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Kuopion Elo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Kuopion Elo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kuopion Elo
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
19.06.24	JBK - Kuopion Elo	4:1 ✺
15.06.24	Kuopion Elo - Närpes	4:1 ✺
09.06.24	GBK Kokkola - Kuopion Elo	4:3 ✺
03.06.24	Kuopion Elo - JS Hercules	1:2 ✺
25.05.24	SJK Akatemia 2 - Kuopion Elo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLLT
- Oulun Työväen Palloilijat
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
19.06.24	OTP - GBK Kokkola	2:4 ✺
08.06.24	JS Hercules - OTP	1:2 ✺
02.06.24	OTP - SJK Akatemia 2	1:5 ✺
29.05.24	TP-47 - OTP	1:0 ✺
25.05.24	JBK - OTP	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group C
20.04.24	OTP - Kuopion Elo	1:2
05.08.23	Kuopion Elo - OTP	0:1
13.05.23	OTP - Kuopion Elo	3:1

Kuopion Elo - OTP: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide