Match Info

Druga NL - Round 25

Date: 25 April 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion Kustosija (Zagreb)


	Kustošija		Hrvace

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	2.9
	2.06	3.45	3.05
	2	3.47	3.15
	2.02	3.66	3.12	Watch
	2.03	3.42	3.19
	2.06	3.45	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.36)	3.48 ↑ (3)	3.08 ↑ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kustošija
44.5%

Draw
26.1%

Hrvace
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

28.2%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

28%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kustošija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kustošija's performance.

Hrvace has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hrvace might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kustošija than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kustošija that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hrvace than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hrvace could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kustošija - Hrvace Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Puljic A. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Smojvir I. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
49', 2 - 1, Guja M. ⚽,
73', 3 - 1, Aloko R. ⚽,
87', 3 - 2, Maganjic J. (Pen),
90+2', 4 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Prva NL).

Recent matches Kustošija is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hrvace is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recently Kustošija have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kustošija won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Kustošija won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Kustošija
Croatian Druga NL
19.04.25	Dugo Selo - Kustošija	1:1 ✺
11.04.25	Kustošija - Segesta	2:1 ✺
04.04.25	Kustošija - Mladost Ždralovi	2:1 ✺
28.03.25	Kustošija - Grobničan	2:2 ✺
21.03.25	Kustošija - Radnik Križevci	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWWTL
- NK Hrvace
Croatian Druga NL
19.04.25	Hrvace - Radnik Križevci	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Marsonia - Hrvace	1:3 ✺
29.03.25	Jadran Poreč - Hrvace	1:3 ✺
22.03.25	Hrvace - Trnje Zagreb	1:0 ✺
14.03.25	Karlovac - Hrvace	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Druga NL
20.04.24	Hrvace - Kustošija	1:3
14.10.23	Kustošija - Hrvace	3:1

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