Match Info

Druga NL - Round 22

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Location: Stadion Kustosija (Zagreb)


	Kustošija		Segesta

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.5	4.35
	1.76	2.82	5.44
	1.72	3	5.59	Watch
	1.62	3.6	4.2
	1.64	3.3	5.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.83)	3.24 ↓ (3.44)	4.98 ↑ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kustošija
53.8%

Draw
27.9%

Segesta
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

26.3%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

28.2%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kustošija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Segesta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Segesta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kustošija than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Segesta than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Kustošija - Segesta Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Segesta (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Segesta (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Kozic L. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', 1 - 2, Bjelivuk I. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Prva NL (Promotion: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Prva NL).

Kustošija is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Segesta is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Kustošija is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kustošija won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 3.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Kustošija won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Kustošija
Croatian Druga NL
29.03.26	Radnik Križevci - Kustošija	1:1 ✺
20.03.26	Kustošija - Đakovo Croatia	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Jadran Luka Ploče - Kustošija	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Kustošija - Solin	3:0 ✺
06.03.26	Kustošija - Varteks Varazdin	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWLWW
- HNK Segesta
Croatian Druga NL
28.03.26	Segesta - Uskok Klis	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	Bjelovar - Segesta	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Segesta - Lučko	4:0 ✺
07.03.26	Segesta - Radnik Križevci	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Đakovo Croatia - Segesta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Druga NL
04.10.25	Segesta - Kustošija	1:4
11.04.25	Kustošija - Segesta	2:1
13.10.24	Segesta - Kustošija	0:4

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