Match Info

Druga NL - Round 8

Date: 10 October 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion Kustosija (Zagreb)


	Kustošija		Bjelovar

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.65	4.75
	1.45	4.4	5.29
	1.64	3.81	4.64	Watch
	1.49	4.32	5.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.34)	4.05 ↓ (4.5)	5.09 ↓ (7.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kustošija
59.4%

Draw
22.6%

Bjelovar
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

20.1%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

19.1%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kustošija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kustošija's form might have worsened.

Bjelovar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bjelovar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kustošija than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kustošija, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bjelovar than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bjelovar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kustošija - Bjelovar Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bjelovar (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Kustošija (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Bjelovar (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Kustošija (votes: 1 - 25%). Bjelovar (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Durkovic N. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
66', 2 - 0, Krizmanic T. ⚽,
80', 🟥,
90', 3 - 0, Garces B. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kustošija won 2.

Kustošija is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bjelovar is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Kustošija is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kustošija won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Kustošija won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Kustošija
Croatian Druga NL
04.10.25	Segesta - Kustošija	1:4 ✺
26.09.25	Kustošija - Radnik Križevci	1:1 ✺
12.09.25	Kustošija - Jadran Luka Ploče	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Varteks Varazdin - Kustošija	0:1 ✺
29.08.25	Kustošija - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTLWW
- NK Bjelovar
Croatian Druga NL
04.10.25	Bjelovar - Uskok Klis	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Lučko - Bjelovar	4:0 ✺
20.09.25	Segesta - Bjelovar	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Bjelovar - Radnik Križevci	2:3 ✺
06.09.25	Đakovo Croatia - Bjelovar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Druga NL
23.05.25	Kustošija - Bjelovar	2:0
23.11.24	Bjelovar - Kustošija	3:2
04.05.24	Bjelovar - Kustošija	0:2
Club Friendly
14.02.24	Kustošija - Bjelovar	1:2
Croatian Druga NL
28.10.23	Kustošija - Bjelovar	1:1
Club Friendly
22.07.23	Bjelovar - Kustošija	2:2

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