Match Info

Date: 3 October 2020, Saturday


	Kustošija		Junak Sinj

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.5	4.75
	1.6	3.55	4.2
	1.6	3.65	4.8
	1.65	3.86	5.12
	1.62	3.82	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.93)	3.68 ↑ (3.2)	4.73 ↑ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kustošija
56.1%

Draw
24.7%

Junak Sinj
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

28.1%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

20%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kustošija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kustošija's performance.

Junak Sinj has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Junak Sinj might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kustošija than the current prediction. (-23%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kustošija that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junak Sinj than the current prediction. (+16.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Junak Sinj could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kustošija - Junak Sinj Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 15).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Kustošija could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kustošija will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Kustošija
Croatian Prva NL
30.09.20	Osijek 2 - Kustošija	1:0 ✺
26.09.20	Kustošija - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	0:0 ✺
20.09.20	Orijent - Kustošija	1:1 ✺
16.09.20	Kustošija - Dubrava	0:0 ✺
12.09.20	Cibalia - Kustošija	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LTTTW
- NK Junak Sinj
Croatian Prva NL
30.09.20	Junak Sinj - Inter Zaprešić	2:2 ✺
26.09.20	Međimurje Čakovec - Junak Sinj	4:3 ✺
23.09.20	Orijent - Junak Sinj	1:2 ✺
19.09.20	Junak Sinj - Dugopolje	2:2 ✺
16.09.20	Junak Sinj - Croatia Zmijavci	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TLWTT

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