Match Info

Date: 16 May 2022, Monday

Location: Stadion Gradski vrt (Osijek)


	Osijek 2		Kustošija

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.2	1.95
	3.3	3.25	2
	3.85	3.48	1.93
	3.75	3.1	1.85
	4.15	3.5	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↑ (2.6)	3.31 ↑ (3)	1.9 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osijek 2
24.7%

Draw
27.5%

Kustošija
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

29.8%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

30.1%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osijek 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Osijek 2's form might have worsened.

Kustošija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kustošija's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osijek 2 than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Osijek 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kustošija than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kustošija, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	33.3%	41.7%

Osijek 2 - Kustošija Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Osijek 2 will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Kustošija will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kustošija: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Osijek 2 won 0.

Recent matches Osijek 2 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kustošija is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kustošija could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Osijek 2 won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Osijek 2 won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Osijek 2
Croatian Prva NL
07.05.22	Rudeš - Osijek 2	1:0 ✺
02.05.22	Osijek 2 - Inter Zaprešić	1:2 ✺
23.04.22	Varaždin - Osijek 2	4:1 ✺
15.04.22	Osijek 2 - Cibalia	2:1 ✺
09.04.22	Opatija - Osijek 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLLWW
- NK Kustošija
Croatian Prva NL
07.05.22	Kustošija - Inter Zaprešić	1:1 ✺
30.04.22	Cibalia - Kustošija	1:1 ✺
23.04.22	Kustošija - Orijent	2:1 ✺
16.04.22	Dubrava - Kustošija	1:2 ✺
09.04.22	Kustošija - Dugopolje	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Prva NL
19.11.21	Kustošija - Osijek 2	0:0
10.04.21	Kustošija - Osijek 2	1:0
30.09.20	Osijek 2 - Kustošija	1:0
07.03.20	Kustošija - Osijek 2	2:2
11.09.19	Osijek 2 - Kustošija	2:0
13.04.19	Osijek 2 - Kustošija	2:0
05.10.18	Kustošija - Osijek 2	0:1

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