Match Info

Date: 19 November 2021, Friday


	Kustošija		Osijek 2

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.2
	2.05	3.1	3.3
	2.02	3.23	3.84
	2.1	3.1	3.2
	2.03	3.2	3.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (2.04)	3.15 ↓ (3.17)	3.42 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kustošija
44.4%

Draw
28.9%

Osijek 2
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

28.8%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

21.9%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kustošija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Osijek 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kustošija than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kustošija, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osijek 2 than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Osijek 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Recent matches Kustošija is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Osijek 2 is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Osijek 2 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kustošija will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Kustošija won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Kustošija won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Kustošija
Croatian Prva NL
05.11.21	Inter Zaprešić - Kustošija	2:1 ✺
30.10.21	Kustošija - Cibalia	2:0 ✺
24.10.21	Orijent - Kustošija	0:3 ✺
16.10.21	Kustošija - Dubrava	0:0 ✺
02.10.21	Dugopolje - Kustošija	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWWTL
- NK Osijek 2
Croatian Prva NL
12.11.21	Inter Zaprešić - Osijek 2	2:0 ✺
07.11.21	Osijek 2 - Rudeš	2:1 ✺
24.10.21	Osijek 2 - Varaždin	0:0 ✺
16.10.21	Cibalia - Osijek 2	1:0 ✺
02.10.21	Osijek 2 - Opatija	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Prva NL
10.04.21	Kustošija - Osijek 2	1:0
30.09.20	Osijek 2 - Kustošija	1:0
07.03.20	Kustošija - Osijek 2	2:2
11.09.19	Osijek 2 - Kustošija	2:0
13.04.19	Osijek 2 - Kustošija	2:0
05.10.18	Kustošija - Osijek 2	0:1
Club Friendly
04.08.18	Kustošija - Osijek 2	1:2

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