Match Info

CROATIA: PRVA NL - ROUND 24

Date: 31 March 2023, Friday

Location: Stadion Kustosija (Zagreb)


	Kustošija		Cibalia

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.2	2.25
	3	2.9	2.2
	2.97	3.11	2.4
	3.04	3.04	2.34	Watch
	2.83	3.1	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.55)	3.07 ↓ (3.1)	2.3 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kustošija
30.8%

Draw
29.6%

Cibalia
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

29.1%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

30.7%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kustošija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Cibalia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kustošija than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kustošija, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cibalia than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cibalia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	37.5%	50%

Kustošija - Cibalia Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kustošija will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Cibalia will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cibalia: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kustošija won 1.

Recent matches Kustošija is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cibalia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Kustošija won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Kustošija won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Kustošija
Croatian Prva NL
26.03.23	Solin - Kustošija	0:1 ✺
18.03.23	Bijelo Brdo - Kustošija	0:1 ✺
13.03.23	Kustošija - Jarun Zagreb	1:2 ✺
08.03.23	Kustošija - Orijent	0:0 ✺
03.03.23	Dubrava - Kustošija	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWLTL
- HNK Cibalia
Croatian Prva NL
24.03.23	Cibalia - Croatia Zmijavci	0:0 ✺
17.03.23	Cibalia - Croatia Zmijavci	0:0 ✺
11.03.23	Dugopolje - Cibalia	0:2 ✺
04.03.23	Solin - Cibalia	0:1 ✺
25.02.23	Cibalia - Bijelo Brdo	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Prva NL
28.10.22	Kustošija - Cibalia	2:2
13.08.22	Cibalia - Kustošija	2:2
30.04.22	Cibalia - Kustošija	1:1
30.10.21	Kustošija - Cibalia	2:0
06.03.21	Kustošija - Cibalia	2:2
12.09.20	Cibalia - Kustošija	1:2
09.11.19	Kustošija - Cibalia	3:0

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