Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 15

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday


	Kvant Obninsk		Arsenal 2 Tula

	1	X	2
	3.16	4.07	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↓ (3.51)	4.07 ↑ (3.92)	1.89 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kvant Obninsk
29%

Draw
22.5%

Arsenal 2 Tula
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

23.2%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

18.8%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kvant Obninsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Arsenal 2 Tula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kvant Obninsk than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal 2 Tula than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arsenal 2 Tula, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kvant Obninsk - Arsenal 2 Tula Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Shcherbiy N. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', 2 - 0, Demidov A. ⚽,
72', 2 - 1, Senik D. ⚽,
85', 3 - 1, Baranov N. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kvant won 1.

A run of poor results has hit both teams ahead of this match.

Arsenal 2 Tula might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Kvant won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kvant won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Arsenal Tula 2	26	2	10	14	20:47	-27	16
16	Kvant	26	1	5	20	25:72	-47	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kvant Obninsk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
27.06.26	Strogino Moskva - Kvant Obninsk	3:1 ✺
20.06.26	Kvant Obninsk - SKA Khabarovsk 2	1:3 ✺
13.06.26	Shumbrat Saransk - Kvant Obninsk	4:0 ✺
06.06.26	Kvant Obninsk - Spartak Tambov	1:3 ✺
30.05.26	Avangard Kursk - Kvant Obninsk	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Arsenal 2 Tula
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
28.06.26	Arsenal 2 Tula - Salyut Belgorod	0:4 ✺
20.06.26	Oryol - Arsenal 2 Tula	4:1 ✺
06.06.26	Metallurg Lipetsk - Arsenal 2 Tula	3:1 ✺
31.05.26	Arsenal 2 Tula - Zenit Penza	1:1 ✺
24.05.26	Saturn Ramenskoye - Arsenal 2 Tula	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
21.09.25	Arsenal 2 Tula - Kvant Obninsk	1:0
31.05.25	Kvant Obninsk - Arsenal 2 Tula	1:1
08.09.24	Arsenal 2 Tula - Kvant Obninsk	2:0
26.05.24	Kvant Obninsk - Arsenal 2 Tula	2:1
29.07.23	Kvant Obninsk - Arsenal 2 Tula	0:0
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
09.11.22	Kvant Obninsk - Arsenal 2 Tula	2:1
16.04.22	Arsenal 2 Tula - Kvant Obninsk	1:1

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