Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 13

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Tsentral'nyy Stadion Im. V. I. Lenina (Oryol)


	Oryol		Arsenal 2 Tula

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.72	4.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.78)	3.72 ↑ (3.54)	4.83 ↑ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oryol
56.8%

Draw
24.4%

Arsenal 2 Tula
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

25.6%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

24.6%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oryol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oryol's performance.

Arsenal 2 Tula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oryol than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal 2 Tula than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Oryol - Arsenal 2 Tula Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Nabatov E. ⚽,
43', 2 - 0, Oshkin A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
59', 3 - 0, Borisov G. ⚽,
76', 4 - 0, Bugaenko I. ⚽,
84', 4 - 1, Gusarov D. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oryol won 1.

In recent matches, Oryol has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Arsenal 2 Tula's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Oryol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Oryol is considered a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Oryol won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Oryol won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Oryol	26	8	5	13	29:44	-15	29
14	Arsenal Tula 2	26	2	10	14	20:47	-27	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Oryol
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
13.06.26	Strogino Moskva - Oryol	2:3 ✺
06.06.26	Oryol - SKA Khabarovsk 2	1:1 ✺
31.05.26	Shumbrat Saransk - Oryol	2:0 ✺
23.05.26	Oryol - Spartak Tambov	1:5 ✺
16.05.26	Oryol - Avangard Kursk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTLLW
- Arsenal 2 Tula
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
06.06.26	Metallurg Lipetsk - Arsenal 2 Tula	3:1 ✺
31.05.26	Arsenal 2 Tula - Zenit Penza	1:1 ✺
24.05.26	Saturn Ramenskoye - Arsenal 2 Tula	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Strogino Moskva - Arsenal 2 Tula	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Arsenal 2 Tula - SKA Khabarovsk 2	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
27.09.25	Oryol - Arsenal 2 Tula	1:2
08.06.25	Arsenal 2 Tula - Oryol	0:0
25.08.24	Arsenal 2 Tula - Oryol	1:3
Russian PFL Center
09.09.16	Arsenal 2 Tula - Oryol	2:2
17.04.16	Oryol - Arsenal 2 Tula	0:0
31.08.15	Arsenal 2 Tula - Oryol	2:1
10.11.14	Arsenal 2 Tula - Oryol	1:1

Oryol - Arsenal 2 Tula: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide