Match Info

RUSSIA: RUSSIAN CUP - REGIONS PATH - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 23 August 2023, Wednesday


	Kvant Obninsk		Kaluga

	1	X	2
	5.7	3.64	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.7 ↑ (4.1)	3.64 ↑ (3.34)	1.64 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kvant Obninsk
16.6%

Draw
25.9%

Kaluga
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23%

28.3%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

28.2%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kvant Obninsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kvant Obninsk's form might have worsened.

Kaluga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kaluga's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kvant Obninsk than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kvant Obninsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaluga than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kaluga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kvant won 1.

Recent matches Kvant is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kaluga is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Kaluga is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Kvant won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Kvant won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kvant Obninsk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
19.08.23	Kosmos Dolgoprudny - Kvant Obninsk	1:1 ✺
13.08.23	Kvant Obninsk - Spartak Tambov	2:2 ✺
06.08.23	Kaluga - Kvant Obninsk	7:0 ✺
29.07.23	Kvant Obninsk - Arsenal 2 Tula	0:0 ✺
22.07.23	Khimki 2 - Kvant Obninsk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TTLTW
- FC Kaluga
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
19.08.23	Saturn Ramenskoye - Kaluga	1:0 ✺
13.08.23	Kaluga - Kosmos Dolgoprudny	2:0 ✺
06.08.23	Kaluga - Kvant Obninsk	7:0 ✺
29.07.23	Khimki 2 - Kaluga	1:3 ✺
22.07.23	Kaluga - SKA Khabarovsk 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
06.08.23	Kaluga - Kvant Obninsk	7:0
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
07.05.22	Kvant Obninsk - Kaluga	1:1
03.04.22	Kaluga - Kvant Obninsk	0:1
03.05.21	Kvant Obninsk - Kaluga	2:2
29.08.20	Kaluga - Kvant Obninsk	2:0
Russian PFL Center
19.10.19	Kvant Obninsk - Kaluga	0:4
24.07.19	Kaluga - Kvant Obninsk	2:0

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