Match Info

NPFL - Round 33

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Kwara Sports Stadium (Ilorin)

Referee: Suleiman N. (Nga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Nigeria	NPFL Live


	Kwara United		Bendel Insurance

	1	X	2
	1.74	3.05	5
	1.74	3.14	5.11	Watch
	1.67	3.13	5.55
	1.74	3.05	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 (1.72)	3.09 ↓ (3.1)	5.17 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kwara United
52.9%

Draw
29.5%

Bendel Insurance
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

29.3%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

28.8%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Kwara United have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Bendel Insurance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kwara United than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bendel Insurance than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Kwara United - Bendel Insurance Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bendel (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nurudeen B. (G) 29. Adeoye V. 14. Aimufua J. 17. Alalade W. 5. Gbadamosi J. 23. Kabiru M. 12. Lawal A. 15. Omotayo Y. 4. Ozor P. 28. Saheed O. 6. Yahaya I.	12. Baba J. (G) 30. Ajiboye M. 8. Collins U. 3. Edem I. 29. Ezinwa C. R. 26. Itoro P. 6. James A. 21. Oke Solomon K. 23. Okorom S. 9. Oritseweyinmi M. 32. Osahon O.
Substitutes
26. Abiodun A. 1. Aiyeleso S. 35. Bankole A. 34. Dadong L. . Gata 16. Jimoh W. . Magaji . Muhammed . Suleiman	19. Akpikpi V. 17. Annor I. 14. Chigozie D. 37. Efe U. 7. Enaruna M. 13. Moughara D. 24. Ogunye A. 1. Suleiman S. (G) 5. Ugwu E.
Coaches
Sanni T.	Ikhenoba G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Oke Solomon K. ⚽,
45+3', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 7).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Bendel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kwara is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kwara won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:6 (average 0.6:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Kwara won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kwara United
Nigerian Premier League
06.04.25	Plateau United - Kwara United	0:0 ✺
26.03.25	Kwara United - Nasarawa United	1:0 ✺
23.03.25	Kwara United - Akwa United	0:2 ✺
15.03.25	Enugu Rangers - Kwara United	3:0 ✺
09.03.25	Kwara United - Kano Pillars	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWLLW
- Bendel Insurance FC
Nigerian Premier League
05.04.25	Bendel Insurance - Enugu Rangers	0:0 ✺
26.03.25	Kano Pillars - Bendel Insurance	0:0 ✺
22.03.25	Bendel Insurance - Sunshine Stars	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Abia Warriors - Bendel Insurance	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Bendel Insurance - Remo Stars	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Nigerian Premier League
23.11.24	Bendel Insurance - Kwara United	3:1
07.04.24	Kwara United - Bendel Insurance	1:1
08.04.23	Bendel Insurance - Kwara United	1:1
22.01.23	Kwara United - Bendel Insurance	0:1
21.04.19	Kwara United - Bendel Insurance	0:0

Kwara United - Bendel Insurance: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide