Match Info

NIGERIA: NPFL - Round 28

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Kwara Sports Stadium (Ilorin)

Referee: Ojeleye J. (Nga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Nigeria	NPFL Live


	Kwara United		Kano Pillars

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.55	6.4
	1.46	3.64	6.74
	1.49	3.71	6.81
	1.44	3.65	7.6
	1.52	3.55	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.59)	3.62 ↑ (3.4)	6.79 ↑ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kwara United
61.4%

Draw
25.2%

Kano Pillars
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

26.7%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

27.6%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kwara United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Kano Pillars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kwara United than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kano Pillars than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Kwara United - Kano Pillars Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nurudeen B. (G) 27. Adekinle S. 14. Aimufua J. 3. Akanni A. 17. Alalade W. 18. Gatta I. 5. Gbadamosi J. 23. Kabiru M. 28. Saheed O. 8. Shola A. 6. Yahaya I.	33. Okeke A. (G) 24. Adam A. 3. Alhassan R. 10. Ali R. 9. Hadi M. O. 2. Lawan M. 7. Musa A. (C) 11. Mustapha U. 25. Sani U. 30. Usman F. 5. Yakubu H.
Substitutes
1. Ayeleso S. (G) 34. Dadong L. 16. Jimoh W. 7. Ogifini A. 15. Omotayo Y. 4. Ozor P. 24. Suleiman J. 31. Yusuf S.	35. Abubaker A. 28. Alex J. 34. Auwalu N. 38. Eshimitu G. 20. Ezeh C. 6. Inuwa I. 15. Kennedy U. 17. Malam A. A. 22. Tambe C. (G)
Coaches
Sanni T.	Garba A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Alalade W. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hadi M. O. ↓, Alex J. ↑,
52', 2 - 0, Jimoh W. ⚽,
56', 🟨,
65', Usman F. ↓, Kennedy U. ↑,
65', Ali R. ↓, Auwalu N. ↑,
65', Sani U. ↓, Eshimitu G. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kwara won 3.

Recent matches Kwara is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kano Pillars is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kwara could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kwara is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Kwara won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:8 (average 1:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Kwara won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:1 (average 1.4:0.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kwara United
Nigerian Premier League
01.03.25	Sunshine Stars - Kwara United	4:2 ✺
26.02.25	Kwara United - Abia Warriors	0:0 ✺
20.02.25	Remo Stars - Kwara United	2:0 ✺
15.02.25	Kwara United - Bayelsa United	1:0 ✺
12.02.25	Kwara United - Shooting Stars	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTLWW
- Kano Pillars
Nigerian Premier League
02.03.25	Kano Pillars - Enugu Rangers	2:1 ✺
26.02.25	Kano Pillars - Akwa United	1:0 ✺
19.02.25	Sunshine Stars - Kano Pillars	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Kano Pillars - Abia Warriors	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	Remo Stars - Kano Pillars	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Nigerian Premier League
20.10.24	Kano Pillars - Kwara United	1:1
12.06.24	Kwara United - Kano Pillars	2:0
28.12.23	Kano Pillars - Kwara United	2:1
20.01.22	Kwara United - Kano Pillars	1:0
28.07.21	Kwara United - Kano Pillars	1:0
17.03.21	Kano Pillars - Kwara United	2:0
Nigerian Federation Cup
24.06.19	Kano Pillars - Kwara United	0:0

Kwara United - Kano Pillars: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide