The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kwara United 46%
Draw 30.9%
Akwa United 23.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66%
22.6%
11.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.8%
20.1%
12.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kwara United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kwara United's form might have worsened.
Akwa United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Akwa United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kwara United than the current prediction. (+12.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kwara United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akwa United than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Akwa United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Kwara United - Akwa United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Nurudeen B. (G) 27. Adekinle S. 29. Adeoye V. 14. Aimufua J. 3. Akanni A. 17. Alalade W. 18. Gata I. 23. Kabiru M. (C) 28. Saheed O. 8. Shola A. 6. Yahaya I.
18. Efala J. (G) 29. Ebedebiri E. 27. Essien U. 23. Etienne A. 25. Etim C. 8. Kabir O. 3. Ndon W. 12. Oguntayo S. 5. Orji C. 21. Philip D. 7. Sabastine U.
Substitutes
22. Afeez M. 1. Aiyeleso S. 34. Dadong L. 5. Gbadamosi J. 16. Jimoh W. 7. Ogifini A. 4. Ozor P. 24. Suleiman J. 31. Yusuf S.
13. Adamu U. 32. Adejubu A. 11. Akande I. 35. Apollos F. 10. Edidiong E. 19. Onunze P. 33. Ovunda D. (G) 20. Sabastine O. 28. Tochukwu S.
Coaches
Sanni T.
Boboye K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
24', Adekinle S. 🟥,
26', 0 - 1, Kabir O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 🟨,
60', Kabir O. 🟨,
69', Philip D. ↓, Edidiong E. ↑,
69', Kabir O. ↓, Akande I. ↑,
69', Oguntayo S. ↓, Onunze P. ↑,
73', 0 - 2, Sabastine U. ⚽, Akande I. (A),
85', 🟨,
85', Ndon W. ↓, Apollos F. ↑,
85', Sabastine U. ↓, Tochukwu S. ↑,
Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Kwara won 2.
Kwara is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Akwa United is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Akwa United could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Kwara is indisputable favorite.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Kwara won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:16 (average 1.1:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Kwara won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.3:0.5).
Nigeria
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Nurudeen B. (G) 
Gata I. 
Efala J. (G) 
Sabastine O. 
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