The best margin for this event is 10.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sunshine Stars 53.8%
Draw 29.9%
Kwara United 16.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.4%
27.6%
15%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.4%
27.6%
15%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sunshine Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
Kwara United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunshine Stars than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kwara United than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Sunshine Stars - Kwara United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Ishola A. (G) 35. Adebayo A. 11. Adebayo W. 25. Ahmadu L. 16. Anaekwe E. 15. Chukwude S. 4. Edeh D. 9. Elmer A. 24. Iwundu C. (C) 31. Mayi S. 33. Olowoshile Y.
35. Abubakar A. (G) 2. Abdullahi H. 26. Abiodun A. 14. Aimufua J. 3. Akanni A. 17. Alalade W. 18. Gatta I. 4. Ozor P. 28. Saheed O. 8. Shola A. 6. Yahaya I.
Substitutes
1. Ariyo D. (G) 29. Elum H. C. 12. Erukusin J. 36. Ikulamberu A. 18. Matthew A. 39. Matthew S. 32. Nnaemeka A. 5. Olalusi M. 6. Olulayo S.
13. Adekunle A. 30. Gata I. 33. Nurudeen B. (G) 7. Ojifinni A. 31. Yusuf S.
Coaches
Bala A.
Sanni T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 2)
11', 1 - 0, Ahmadu L. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Gatta I. ⚽,
27', 1 - 2, Alalade W. ⚽,
32', 2 - 2, Saheed O. (Own goal),
45+1', 3 - 2, Ahmadu L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 4 - 2, Ahmadu L. ⚽,
Preview
An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 11).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Sunshine Stars won 1.
Sunshine Stars is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Kwara is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Sunshine Stars is a favorite.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Sunshine Stars won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:12 (average 0.8:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Sunshine Stars won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1.2:0.8).
Nigeria
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Ishola A. (G) 
Gata I. 
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