Match Info

KAZAKHSTAN: First Division - Round 9

Date: 30 May 2024, Thursday


	Kyran		Kaspiy Aktau

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.7	1.49
	5.31	3.9	1.55
	6	3.8	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.69 ↑ (5.69)	3.8 (3.8)	1.51 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kyran
16%

Draw
23.9%

Kaspiy Aktau
60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.9%

23.7%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Kyran have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Kaspiy Aktau have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyran than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaspiy Aktau than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Kyran - Kaspiy Aktau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Smaylov E. (G) 13. Tuleev A. 21. Ermekuulu A. 5. Amanbay A. 87. Umarov I. 10. Kuanyshbay D. 8. Abzhal S. 9. Oksikbayev A. 11. Zhaksybayuly B. 22. Erzhigit Z. 23. Zhalilov A.	1. Ayazbaev N. (G) 66. Doronin A. 5. Taipov K. 4. Kadyrbaev E. 13. Taykenov M. 70. Tazhikenov S. 23. Nabikhanov A. 7. Kabylan B. 78. Khalmatov M. 10. Konlimkos B. 47. Nusip A.
Substitutes
2. Daneker D. 20. Kamysbaev A. 26. Mamyr S. 99. Suzdalev M. 6. Turgun N.	3. Bekmyrza A. 17. Berdibek D. 8. Dmitrenko V. 35. Mokin A. (G) 27. Mukhit A. 28. Strizhkov N. 73. Toleukhanov N. 14. Zaynetdinov D. 48. Zhumabay E. 30. Zhumakhanov S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Tuleev A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
49', 0 - 1, Khalmatov M. ⚽,
53', 0 - 2, Konlimkos B. ⚽,
57', Oksikbayev A. ↓, Turgun N. ↑,
57', Zhalilov A. ↓, Kamysbaev A. ↑,
58', Kabylan B. ↓, Zhumakhanov S. ↑,
58', Nusip A. ↓, Mukhit A. ↑,
66', 0 - 3, Konlimkos B. ⚽,
67', Amanbay A. 🟨,
68', Konlimkos B. ↓, Bekmyrza A. ↑,
68', Tazhikenov S. ↓, Strizhkov N. ↑,
73', Kadyrbaev E. 🟨,
73', Erzhigit Z. 🟨,
73', 🟨,
74', Khalmatov M. ↓, Berdibek D. ↑,
76', Berdibek D. 🟨,
85', Umarov I. ↓, Daneker D. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Kyran is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kaspiy Aktau is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kaspiy Aktau could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kaspiy Aktau is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kyran won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Kyran won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Kyran
Kazakh First League
23.05.24	Kyran - Okzhetpes	0:1 ✺
17.05.24	Kairat 2 - Kyran	10:1 ✺
10.05.24	Kyran - Ulytau	0:1 ✺
18.04.24	Aktobe 2 - Kyran	0:2 ✺
05.04.24	Kyran - Turkistan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLWL
- FC Kaspiy Aktau
Kazakh First League
22.05.24	Kaspiy Aktau - SD Family	2:0 ✺
16.05.24	Kaspiy Aktau - Kaisar 2	3:1 ✺
10.05.24	Zhetisay - Kaspiy Aktau	0:0 ✺
03.05.24	Kairat 2 - Kaspiy Aktau	1:2 ✺
25.04.24	Kaspiy Aktau - Ulytau	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
20.10.19	Kyran - Kaspiy Aktau	5:1
Kazakh Cup
19.03.18	Kyran - Kaspiy Aktau	3:3

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