Match Info

Premier League - Round 21

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Zhestar Stadium (Aktau)

Referee: Nozhenko S. (Kaz)


	Kaspiy Aktau		Ulytau

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.10	3.10
	2.23	3.10	2.70
	2.10	3.32	3.31
	2.51	3.08	2.75	Watch
	2.06	3.25	3.15
	2.00	3.46	3.56	Watch
	2.10	3.15	3.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.21)	3.21 ↓ (3.29)	3.1 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Kaspiy Aktau
42.2%

Draw
28.4%

Ulytau
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

27.9%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

26.8%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaspiy Aktau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Ulytau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaspiy Aktau than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulytau than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Kaspiy Aktau - Ulytau Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Kaspiy will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ayazbaev N. (C) 21. Aripov D. 30. Morgado B. 67. Kalmyrza M. 19. Taykenov M. 26. Sedko P. 17. Klimovich V. 15. Epton D. 11. Ndombasi N. 9. Abylaykhan R. 93. Sylla K.	1. Nepogodov D. (G) 2. Carmona Sierra D. 25. Bukhal G. 28. Bugulov G. (C) 12. Afanasenko V. 7. Kishi K. 9. Serikkul R. 8. Vachiberadze B. 14. Harada H. 90. Martin D. 45. Zulfikarov B.
Substitutes
49. Andrin Y. (G) 16. Baydavletov A. 7. Kabylan B. 60. Kaldybay B. (G) 18. Kucheriavyi M. 23. Nabikhanov A. 27. Nechayev D. 13. Serikbay M. 10. Umaev I. 47. Usenov D.	13. Akhmedov A. 18. Bougnone A. 4. Chalkin M. 22. Chernyak I. 17. Daniyarov B. 69. Maulenov D. 21. Nurali O. 6. Nursultanov K. 40. Shcherbakov S. (G) 11. Smith A. 10. Taubay A. 78. Zakirov T. (G)
Coaches
Shoytymov E.	Mazbaev N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Afanasenko V. 🟨,
20', Abylaykhan R. (Penalty Awarded),
28', Klimovich V. 🟨,
36', Vachiberadze B. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Sylla K. ⚽, Ndombasi N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bugulov G. ↓, Chalkin M. ↑,
46', Harada H. ↓, Chernyak I. ↑,
58', Taykenov M. 🟨,
66', Abylaykhan R. ↓, Usenov D. ↑,
68', Serikkul R. ↓, Nursultanov K. ↑,
68', Martin D. ↓, Taubay A. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Zulfikarov B. ⚽, Kishi K. (A),
80', Ndombasi N. ↓, Kabylan B. ↑,
88', Carmona Sierra D. ↓, Daniyarov B. ↑,
90+2', Nursultanov K. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 7).

Kaspiy is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ulytau is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kaspiy is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kaspiy won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Kaspiy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Ulytau	26	8	8	10	24:32	-8	32
10	Kaspij Aktau	26	8	5	13	27:36	-9	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kaspiy Aktau
Kazakh Premier League
01.08.26	Ertis Pavlodar - Kaspiy Aktau	3:2 ✺
26.07.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Zhenis	3:2 ✺
18.07.26	Kaisar - Kaspiy Aktau	1:1 ✺
11.07.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Ordabasy	3:2 ✺
05.07.26	Atyrau - Kaspiy Aktau	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.1 LWTWW
- FC Ulytau
Kazakh Premier League
02.08.26	Ulytau - Astana	0:2 ✺
25.07.26	Ulytau - Ertis Pavlodar	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Zhenis - Ulytau	1:1 ✺
12.07.26	Ulytau - Kaisar	1:0 ✺
05.07.26	Ordabasy - Ulytau	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
16.05.26	Ulytau - Kaspiy Aktau	1:0
Kazakh First League
26.07.24	Ulytau - Kaspiy Aktau	0:0
25.04.24	Kaspiy Aktau - Ulytau	3:2

Upcoming Matches