Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 30

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday


	Käerjéng 97		Jeunesse Esch

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3
	1.82	3.45	3.6
	1.8	3.56	3.63
	1.87	3.51	3.76	Watch
	1.85	3.25	3.6
	1.83	3.54	3.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.37)	3.4 ↓ (3.43)	3.54 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Käerjéng 97
48%

Draw
26.5%

Jeunesse Esch
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

26.3%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

26.6%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Käerjéng 97 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Käerjéng 97's performance.

Jeunesse Esch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jeunesse Esch might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Käerjéng 97 than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Käerjéng 97 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jeunesse Esch than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jeunesse Esch could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Käerjéng 97 - Jeunesse Esch Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Käerjéng 97 will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Campos N. (G) 15. Carolei L. 11. Dieye A. 27. Dublin Y. (C) 3. Gerson L. 33. Grbic J. 9. Mabwati I. 7. Maison B. 21. Moutschen R. 16. Povoa D. 5. Ubaldini G.	16. Englaro S. (G) 6. Andrade Brites C. 14. Andrade D. 45. de Sousa A. 90. Elshan L. 30. Jonathans D. 92. Klisurica R. 24. Mancini T. 21. Nurenberg L. 8. Soares D. 4. Todorovic M. (C)
Substitutes
10. Barbaro V. 29. Boutrif I. 6. Ewert N. 28. Intini L. 23. Jordao Machado D. 25. Ragnacci T. (G) 24. Tawaba J.	. Balde A. 75. De Oliveira R. 40. Janeiro M. (G) 18. Lapierre E. 11. Rodrigues L. 33. Weis L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 7)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Käerjéng 97 won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Käerjéng 97 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Käerjéng 97 won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:27. (average 0.6:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Käerjéng 97 won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.8:2.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Kaerjeng	8	5	0	3	23:15	8	15
10	Jeunesse Esch	8	2	1	5	14:17	-3	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Käerjéng 97
Luxembourg National Division
17.05.26	Differdange 03 - Käerjéng 97	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Käerjéng 97 - Jeunesse Canach	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	Rodange - Käerjéng 97	0:3 ✺
26.04.26	Käerjéng 97 - Racing Luxembourg	2:5 ✺
19.04.26	Mamer - Käerjéng 97	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWLW
- Jeunesse Esch
Luxembourg National Division
17.05.26	Jeunesse Esch - Progrès Niedercorn	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	UNA Strassen - Jeunesse Esch	3:0 ✺
03.05.26	Jeunesse Esch - Pétange	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Victoria Rosport - Jeunesse Esch	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Jeunesse Esch - Swift Hesperange	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
10.03.24	Jeunesse Esch - Käerjéng 97	3:0
17.09.23	Käerjéng 97 - Jeunesse Esch	1:1
12.02.23	Käerjéng 97 - Jeunesse Esch	1:4
14.08.22	Jeunesse Esch - Käerjéng 97	0:0
19.03.17	Käerjéng 97 - Jeunesse Esch	1:4
01.10.16	Jeunesse Esch - Käerjéng 97	3:1
22.03.15	Käerjéng 97 - Jeunesse Esch	1:3

Käerjéng 97 - Jeunesse Esch: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide