Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 8

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday


	Hostert		Jeunesse Esch

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.35	2.9
	2.14	3.46	2.99
	2.14	3.52	2.98	Watch
	2.09	3.35	2.9
	2.14	3.38	2.89
	2.08	3.35	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.43)	3.4 ↑ (3.3)	2.93 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hostert
42.7%

Draw
26.5%

Jeunesse Esch
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

27.3%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

27.9%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hostert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hostert's performance.

Jeunesse Esch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hostert than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jeunesse Esch than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Hostert - Jeunesse Esch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hostert won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Jeunesse Esch has had a series of away games.

Hostert could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Hostert won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:33. (average 1.3:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Hostert won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.4:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Hostert	8	3	2	3	14:11	3	11
10	Jeunesse Esch	8	2	1	5	14:17	-3	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Hostert
Luxembourg National Division
12.09.26	Hostert - F91 Dudelange	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Victoria Rosport - Hostert	0:2 ✺
30.08.26	Hostert - Differdange 03	0:2 ✺
16.08.26	Hostert - Etzella Ettelbruck	5:1 ✺
02.08.26	Résidence Walferdange - Hostert	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWLWL
- Jeunesse Esch
Luxembourg National Division
12.09.26	Racing Luxembourg - Jeunesse Esch	5:1 ✺
06.09.26	Jeunesse Esch - Wiltz 71	5:1 ✺
30.08.26	Rumelange - Jeunesse Esch	2:5 ✺
16.08.26	UNA Strassen - Jeunesse Esch	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	Progrès Niedercorn - Jeunesse Esch	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
22.03.26	Jeunesse Esch - Hostert	2:3
28.09.25	Hostert - Jeunesse Esch	1:3
08.03.25	Jeunesse Esch - Hostert	0:3
14.09.24	Hostert - Jeunesse Esch	0:0
Club Friendly
16.07.23	Jeunesse Esch - Hostert	5:0
Luxembourg National Division
19.03.23	Hostert - Jeunesse Esch	0:1
18.09.22	Jeunesse Esch - Hostert	1:2

Upcoming Matches