Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 14

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday


	Köln II		Velbert

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.95	6.5
	1.44	4.35	5.93	Watch
	1.32	4.75	7.5
	1.4	5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.37)	4.76 ↑ (4.5)	6.48 ↑ (6.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Köln II
66.5%

Draw
19.3%

Velbert
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

20%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

14.2%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Köln II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Velbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln II than the current prediction. (-20%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Köln II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Velbert than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Velbert could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Köln II - Velbert Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Hilger R. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Toure S. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 1, El Mala M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', 3 - 1, Adamyan S. ⚽,
70', 4 - 1, Yacobi N. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Köln II won 2.

Köln II has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Velbert has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Köln II is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Köln II won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:9. (average 1.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Köln II won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. Köln II
German Regionalliga West
25.10.25	Fortuna Köln - Köln II	3:2 ✺
18.10.25	Köln II - Bonner	0:1 ✺
03.10.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Köln II	3:3 ✺
27.09.25	Köln II - Gütersloh	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Köln II	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLTTW
- SSVg Velbert
German Regionalliga West
25.10.25	Velbert - Schalke 04 II	1:3 ✺
18.10.25	Borussia Dortmund II - Velbert	5:0 ✺
03.10.25	Velbert - Rödinghausen	2:3 ✺
25.09.25	Velbert - Bocholt	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Fortuna Köln - Velbert	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
20.04.24	Köln II - Velbert	0:3
28.10.23	Velbert - Köln II	1:5
Club Friendly
10.07.19	Velbert - Köln II	3:3
26.01.19	Köln II - Velbert	3:1
German Regionalliga West
12.12.15	Köln II - Velbert	0:0
02.08.15	Velbert - Köln II	0:0
09.03.14	Velbert - Köln II	1:2

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