The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
L Aquila 59.6%
Draw 24.7%
Foligno 15.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53.7%
26.5%
19.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.5%
25.2%
18.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
L Aquila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in L Aquila's performance.
Foligno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for L Aquila than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Foligno than the current prediction. (+3%)
L Aquila - Foligno Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Gasperoni M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
72', 2 - 0, Campagna S. ⚽,
76', 2 - 1, Babbi L. ⚽,
85', 2 - 2, Sylla F. ⚽,
90', 3 - 2, Chiarella M. ⚽,
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 1st in the Promotion and 4th in the Promotion - Serie D - Group F Playoffs).
L Aquila is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Foligno shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Bookmakers give the edge to L Aquila for this game.
Our forecast points to a victory for L Aquila in today's match, at odds of 1.53.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, L Aquila has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:1 (averaging 2:0.5 goals per game).